Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Nathan 38' goal
  • Nathan Fogaça 38' goal
  • Luiz Henrique Soares Firmino 53' goal
  • Negueba 53' goal
  • Igor 55' yellowcard
  • Igor Cariús 55' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo 65' yellowcard
  • Yuri Lara 65' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 70' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 71' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 71' yellowcard
  • goal Wanderson 23'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 46'
  • yellowcard Luis Sinisterra 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 64'
  • yellowcard William 79'
  • yellowcard William 80'
  • yellowcard Kaio Jorge 85'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji Takamura Correa 89'
  • yellowcard Kaique Kenji 89'

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 11.00pm
Remo 2 - 2 Mirassol
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Negueba

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 12.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Coritiba
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Mirassol had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Mirassol win was 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 32.24%
Draw 26.82%
Cruzeiro 40.9% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.31% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.69% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.14%
Under 2.5 53.86%
Over 3.5 23.97%
Under 3.5 76.03%
Over 4.5 12.38% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.62% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 29.12%
Draw 44.19%
Cruzeiro 26.69%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 44.69%
No Goal 8.35%
Cruzeiro 46.96%

Corners

Over 8 62.13%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 26.82%
Over 9 50.46%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 37.87%
Over 10.5 39.19%
Under 10.5 60.81%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 31.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.36%
Under 2.5 89.64%
Over 3.5 2.84%
Under 3.5 97.16%

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 72% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 37.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.44% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.56% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 32.24%
Draw 26.83%
Cruzeiro 40.9%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 5.13%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.83%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.43% (-0.02)
Total : 40.9%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 19, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Dudu 14' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 22' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Walace 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 49' yellowcard
  • Cassio Ramos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro da Silva 11'
  • yellowcard 12'
  • goal Lucas Ramon 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 63'
  • yellowcard Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos 85'