Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 11.00pm
Remo 2 - 2 Mirassol
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Carlos Eduardo

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 12.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Coritiba
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Mirassol has a probability of 32.24% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.71%).

Result

Mirassol 32.24%
Draw 26.82% (-0.04)
Cruzeiro 40.94% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.64% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.14% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.86% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.03% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.4% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.6% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 29.12%
Draw 44.19%
Cruzeiro 26.69%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 44.69% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.35% (-0.02)
Cruzeiro 46.96% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.13%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 26.82%
Over 9 50.46%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 37.87%
Over 10.5 39.19%
Under 10.5 60.81%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 31.13% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.36% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.84% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.16% (-0.02)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 72.05%
Under 0.5 27.95%
Over 1.5 37.78% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.22% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.71% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.29% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.45% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 32.25%
Draw 26.84%
Cruzeiro 40.94%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Total : 32.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.84%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 10.95% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.02)
Total : 40.94%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 19, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Dudu 14' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 22' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Walace 33' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 49' yellowcard
  • Cassio Ramos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro da Silva 11'
  • yellowcard 12'
  • goal Lucas Ramon 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 63'
  • yellowcard Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos 85'