Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Jan 29, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
Mirassol 3 - 3 Flamengo

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw has a probability of 25.35% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (6.75%).

Result

Mirassol 52.77%
Draw 25.35%
Vasco da Gama 21.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.67%
Under 1.5 26.33%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%
Over 3.5 27.39%
Under 3.5 72.61%
Over 4.5 15.48%
Under 4.5 84.52%

First Half Winner

Mirassol 40.87%
Draw 40.25%
Vasco da Gama 18.88%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 61.1%
No Goal 7.6%
Vasco da Gama 31.3%

Corners

Over 8 64.43%
Equal 8 10.64%
Under 8 24.94%
Over 9 52.99%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 35.57%
Over 10.5 41.74%
Under 10.5 58.26%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 48.53%
Under 1.5 51.47%
Over 2.5 22.93%
Under 2.5 77.07%
Over 3.5 8.26%
Under 3.5 91.74%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 57.33%
Under 0.5 42.67%
Over 1.5 24.06%
Under 1.5 75.94%
Over 2.5 7.59%
Under 2.5 92.41%
Over 3.5 1.96%
Under 3.5 98.04%

Score analysis

Mirassol 52.77%
Draw 25.36%
Vasco da Gama 21.88%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 8.07%
Total : 52.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.36%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 2, 2025 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Cuesta 38' yellowcard
  • Carlos Cuesta 39' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Carvalho da Silva 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Orlando Goncalves Dias Neto 58'
  • yellowcard Neto Moura 59'
  • goal Renato Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ramon 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Carvalho da Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Renato Marques 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 2, 2025 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT