Brasileiro
Jan 29, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Carlos Cuesta 32' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 54' goal
  • Eduardo 54' goal
  • Nathan Fogaça 62' yellowcard
  • Nathan 63' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 63' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaca 63' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 69' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 69' yellowcard
  • José Aldo 69' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 70' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 85' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otávio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 21'
  • yellowcard Andrey Fernandes de Oliveira Nunes 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Franca 68'
  • yellowcard Andrey Fernandes 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus França 68'
  • yellowcard João Vitor Silva 74'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Souza da Silva 80'
  • yellowcard GB 80'

Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
Mirassol 3 - 3 Flamengo
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Nathan

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 51.01% (-0.02)
Draw 25.6% (-0.03)
Vasco da Gama 23.36% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.16% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.82% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 27.18% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.2% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.79% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.39% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.61% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.41% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.59% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 41.26% (-0.14)
Draw 39.94% (+0.22)
Vasco da Gama 18.8% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 60.91%
No Goal 7.86%
Vasco da Gama 31.23%

Corners

Over 8 59.28% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 29.79% (+0.17)
Over 9 48.04% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.02)
Under 9 40.72% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 37.39% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 62.61% (+0.14)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 46.72% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.28% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.88% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.12% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.96% (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 58.89% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.11% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.93% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 75.07% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.55% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.45% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.84% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Mirassol 51.01%
Draw 25.59%
Vasco da Gama 23.36%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 7% (-0.01)
Total : 51.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 25.59%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.32% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.36%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 2, 2025 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlos Cuesta 38' yellowcard
  • Carlos Cuesta 39' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Carvalho da Silva 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Orlando Goncalves Dias Neto 58'
  • yellowcard Neto Moura 59'
  • goal Renato Marques 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ramon 79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Carvalho da Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Renato Marques 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 2, 2025 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT