Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.33% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.