Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.