Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 27, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciro Lopez
Coritiba

Ceilandia
2 - 2
Coritiba

Felipe Clemente de Almeida (51', 69')
(53'), Ribeiro Cardoso (63'), Camargo de Souza (67'), Camargo de Souza (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ronier (55'), Bianqui (90+2')
Ceilandia win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Ceilandia and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceilandia

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Coritiba

Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ceilandia had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.95%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Ceilandia win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
CeilandiaDrawCoritiba
13.03% (0.175 0.17)22.33% (0.084 0.08)64.63% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 39.71% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)56.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (0.02 0.02)77.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Ceilandia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.76% (0.305 0.31)52.24% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.84% (0.197 0.2)86.16% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.86% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.13% (-0.143 -0.14)46.87% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Ceilandia 13.03%
    Coritiba 64.62%
    Draw 22.33%
CeilandiaDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 3.31% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.86% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 13.03%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 15.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 13.95% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.28% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.38%
0-4 @ 3.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 64.62%

rhs 2.0


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