Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ceilandia had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.95%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Ceilandia win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.