Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2026 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Jorge Carrascal 14' goal
  • Lucas Paquetá 43' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Guanaes 62'
  • yellowcard João Victor 66'
  • yellowcard Denilson 81'

Flamengo vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 8.00pm
Flamengo 3 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Pedro

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 10.30pm
Mirassol 1 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.48% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.18%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 69.37%
Draw 20.48%
Mirassol 10.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.34% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 52.21% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 35.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Mirassol 11.82% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 71.64% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Mirassol 20.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.46% ▲ (+0.31)
Equal 8 10.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.78% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 9 49.28% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 39.54% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 10.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 10.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.23)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 58.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 41.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 30.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 86.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 40.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 59.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 12.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 87.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 69.36%
Draw 20.48%
Mirassol 10.17%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 15.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 14.18%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 69.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.04%
0-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 20.48%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 10.17%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Denilson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cazonatti 51' yellowcard
  • João Victor 77' goal
  • Neto Moura 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Carrascal 22'
  • goal Luiz Araújo 53'
  • goal Pedro 56'
  • goal Pedro 66'
  • goal Samuel Lino 74'
Brasileiro
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Chico 13' goal
  • Alesson 41' goal
  • Cristian Renato Goncalves Riquelme 65' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Telles 8'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 31'
  • yellowcard Iago Teodoro da Silva Nogueira 45'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 59'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT