Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 12.30am
Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Gonzalo Plata

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Nathan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.75% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 62.99% (-0.33)
Draw 22.75% (+0.06)
Mirassol 14.23% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.12% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.36% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 27.64% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 47.58% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 52.42% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 26.42% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 73.58% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 16.36% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 83.64% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 44.72%
Draw 38.6%
Mirassol 16.68%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 63.47% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.97% (-0.11)
Mirassol 28.56% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.42% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.92% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.66% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.16%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 40.58% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 37.45%
Under 10.5 62.55%

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 53.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.97%
Under 2.5 73.03%
Over 3.5 11.37%
Under 3.5 88.63%

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 46.47% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 53.53% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 16.16% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 83.84% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 4.27% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 95.73% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 0.98% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 99.02% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Flamengo 62.99%
Draw 22.75%
Mirassol 14.24%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.76% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 12.34% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
Other @ 11.28% (-0.01)
Total : 62.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.68% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 22.75%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 4.89% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.76% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.04% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.89% (+0.05)
Total : 14.24%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Chico 13' goal
  • Alesson 41' goal
  • Cristian Renato Goncalves Riquelme 65' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Telles 8'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 31'
  • yellowcard Iago Teodoro da Silva Nogueira 45'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 59'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT