Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 12.30am
Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Pedro

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Negueba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw has a probability of 22.12% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.91%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 0-1 (4.71%).

Result

Flamengo 64.74% (-0.06)
Draw 22.12% (+0.05)
Mirassol 13.17% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.42% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.28% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 27.72% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 47.62% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.38% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.5% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.5% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.43% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.57% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 46.43% (-0.04)
Draw 37.86% (+0.02)
Mirassol 15.7%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 66.56% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.91% (-0.02)
Mirassol 25.53% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.76% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 30.33% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.55%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 41.24% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.96%
Under 10.5 63.04%

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 54.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 45.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.7%
Under 2.5 72.3%
Over 3.5 11.64% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.36% (+0.02)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 45.1% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 54.9% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 15.16% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 84.84% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 3.89% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.92%
Under 3.5 99.08%

Score analysis

Flamengo 64.74%
Draw 22.12%
Mirassol 13.18%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 15.14% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 12.9% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.52% (-0.02)
Total : 64.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.12%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 4.71% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.49% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 13.18%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Chico 13' goal
  • Alesson 41' goal
  • Cristian Renato Goncalves Riquelme 65' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Telles 8'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 31'
  • yellowcard Iago Teodoro da Silva Nogueira 45'
  • goal Guilherme Henrique Bernardineli Gomes 59'
Brasileiro
Aug 9, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT