Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.75% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.