Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 2 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 10.30pm
Athletico PR 0 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw has a probability of 24.83% and a win for Corinthians has a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.31%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Corinthians win it is 0-1 (6.58%).

Result

Cruzeiro 52.22% (-0.06)
Draw 24.83% (+0.06)
Corinthians 22.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.33% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 26.67% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 48.79% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 51.21% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 27.08% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 72.92% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.71% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.29% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Cruzeiro 39.31% (+0.20)
Draw 43.16% (+0.24)
Corinthians 17.53% (-0.43)

Team To Score First

Cruzeiro 62.84% (+0.30)
No Goal 7.69% (+0.39)
Corinthians 29.47% (-0.68)

Corners

Over 8 60.53% (-0.61)
Equal 8 10.87% (+0.17)
Under 8 28.59% (+0.43)
Over 9 49.22% (-0.74)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.14)
Under 9 39.47% (+0.61)
Over 10.5 38.38% (-0.79)
Under 10.5 61.62% (+0.79)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 1.5 47.21% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 52.79% (+0.39)
Over 2.5 20.84% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 79.16% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 8% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92% (+0.08)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 57.83% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 42.17% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 24.79% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 75.21% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 8.18% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 91.82% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.38% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.62% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 52.21%
Draw 24.83%
Corinthians 22.96%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.4% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 10.31% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.62% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.93% (-0.06)
Total : 52.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.69% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.03)
Total : 24.83%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.43% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.31% (+0.13)
Total : 22.96%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Dec 14, 2025 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
ET
  • Breno Bidon 13' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Angileri 19' yellowcard
  • Matheus Bidu 55' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 84' yellowcard
  • Raniele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 13'
  • goal Keny Alexander Arroyo Alvarado 40'
  • goal Keny Alexander Arroyo Alvarado 50'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 88'
Copa do Brasil
Dec 11, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matheus Pereira 74' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 75' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 84' yellowcard
  • goal Memphis Depay 22'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 52'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 78'
  • yellowcard Maycon 86'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard André Luiz Santos Dias 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 90'+3'
Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Memphis Depay 10' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 15' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 40' yellowcard
  • Andre Carrillo 59' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kaiki Bruno 34'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 42'
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 50'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 6' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 27' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Veron 48' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 45'+5' goal
  • Lucas Silva 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 89'