Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 19, 2026 10.30pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 10.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Stiven Mendoza

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 11.00pm
Corinthians 2 - 0 Bragantino
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Corinthians has a probability of 28.47% and a draw has a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 0-1 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 45.15% (-0.04)
Draw 26.38%
Corinthians 28.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.94% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.21% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.79% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 49.98% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.23% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.9% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 37.56%
Draw 44.52%
Corinthians 17.91%

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 58.88%
No Goal 7.59%
Corinthians 33.53%

Corners

Over 8 57.26%
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 31.43%
Over 9 45.79%
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 42.74%
Over 10.5 35.08%
Under 10.5 64.92%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 42.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.33% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.67% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.36% (+0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 63.77%
Under 0.5 36.23%
Over 1.5 30.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.18% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.82% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 45.15%
Draw 26.38%
Corinthians 28.47%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 6.43% (-0.03)
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 26.38%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.97% (-0.01)
Total : 28.47%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Sep 11, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 12.00am
5
2
HT : 4 4
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Matheuzinho 5' goal
  • Matheuzinho 5' goal
  • Caca 18' goal
  • Caca 18' goal
  • Memphis Depay 25' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 25' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 55' goal
  • Memphis Depay 55' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 59' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 59' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 66' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 66' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 78' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 78' goal
  • Caca 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 25'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 25'
  • goal Nikao 30'
  • goal Nikao 30'
  • goal Erick 39'
  • goal Erick 39'
  • yellowcard Julimar 44'
  • yellowcard Julimar 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 54'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Alinja Arena
  • Christian 45' goal
  • Fernandinho 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Di Yorio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 40'
  • goal Caca 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 1, 2023 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Yuri Alberto 64' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitor Bueno 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 62'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 36' goal