Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 10.00pm
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 10.00pm
Internacional 0 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Stiven Mendoza

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 11.00pm
Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Gabriel Menino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Santos has a probability of 26.03% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Santos win is 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 49.18% (-0.01)
Draw 24.8% (-0.01)
Santos 26.03% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.48% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.52% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 47.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 30.29%
Under 3.5 69.71%
Over 4.5 17.75% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.25% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 37.62% (+0.02)
Draw 44.82% (+0.03)
Santos 17.56% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 59.12% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.15%
Santos 34.73% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.12%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 26.98%
Over 9 50.62% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 37.88%
Over 10.5 39.5% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 60.5% (+0.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 47.18% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.82% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.4% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 78.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.26% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.74% (+0.04)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.3% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 49.17%
Draw 24.79%
Santos 26.03%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.98% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.07% (-0.03)
Total : 49.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.79%
Santos
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.11% (-0.02)
Total : 26.03%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Bueno 45'+6' goal
  • Fernandinho 56' yellowcard
  • Thiago Heleno 60' yellowcard
  • Erick 65' yellowcard
  • Madson 75' goal
  • Alex Santana 82' yellowcard
  • Caca 88' yellowcard
  • Willian 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 42'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 44'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 83'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morelos 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 5, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Lucas Lima 74' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 77' yellowcard
  • Stiven Mendoza 88' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Pablo 30'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 89'
  • yellowcard Vitor Bueno 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luan Vieira 35' goal
  • Nicolas Hernandez 90'+2' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2022 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nicolas Hernandez 8' yellowcard
  • Christian 25' yellowcard
  • Pablo 43' goal
  • Pablo 43' yellowcard
  • Leo Baptistao 56' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 69' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 83' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 11'
  • yellowcard Auro 39'
  • yellowcard Marcos Leonardo 53'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 55'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 64'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 30, 2021 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ze Ivaldo 68' yellowcard
  • goal Madson 49'
  • yellowcard Joao Paulo 67'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jul 6, 2021 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kaiky Fernandes 26' yellowcard
  • Marcos Guilherme 31' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 48' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 50' goal
  • goal Fernando Canesin 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 63'
  • yellowcard Renato Kayzer 87'