Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.35% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.