Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm
Arena Condá

Chapecoense vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Fluminense 3 - 0 Chapecoense

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Santos 3 - 0 Cruzeiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chapecoense win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Santos has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Santos win is 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Chapecoense 40.05% (+3.49)
Draw 26.52% (-0.54)
Santos 33.43% (-2.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.84% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 25.56% (-1.20)
Over 2.5 49.69% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 50.31% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 27.92% (+1.87)
Under 3.5 72.08% (-1.86)
Over 4.5 15.25% (+1.50)
Under 4.5 84.75% (-1.49)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 34.07% (+0.60)
Draw 44.57% (+1.01)
Santos 21.36% (-1.61)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 55.8% (+2.90)
No Goal 7.09% (-0.46)
Santos 37.11% (-2.46)

Corners

Over 8 66.84% (+0.50)
Equal 8 10.35% (-0.34)
Under 8 22.81% (-0.17)
Over 9 55.5% (+0.86)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.37)
Under 9 33.16% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 44.16% (+1.20)
Under 10.5 55.84% (-1.19)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 39.3% (+3.50)
Under 1.5 60.7% (-3.50)
Over 2.5 15.7% (+2.49)
Under 2.5 84.3% (-2.50)
Over 3.5 5.24% (+1.25)
Under 3.5 94.76% (-1.25)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 68.15% (-1.72)
Under 0.5 31.85% (+1.73)
Over 1.5 34.41% (-1.40)
Under 1.5 65.59% (+1.40)
Over 2.5 13.05% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 86.95% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 4.13% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 95.87% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 40.06%
Draw 26.52%
Santos 33.43%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.45)
2-0 @ 6.73% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 3.84% (+0.48)
3-0 @ 2.96% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.39)
Other @ 5.09% (+1.20)
Total : 40.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.05)
Total : 26.52%
Santos
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.94)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.67)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.54)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.38)
Other @ 3.98% (-0.19)
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 17, 2021 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marinho 27' goal
  • Angelo Gabriel 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Marcos Guilherme 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan 24'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Busanello 29'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Aug 1, 2021 10.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Carlos Sanchez 43'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Dec 1, 2019 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira (Santos, São Paulo)
  • Lucas Verissimo 8' goal
  • Marinho 37' yellowcard
  • Evandro 49' goal
  • Evandro 53' yellowcard
  • Alison 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dalberto 38'
  • yellowcard Douglas 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Aug 31, 2019 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Arthur 29' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 91' yellowcard
  • goal Gum 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Pituca 50'
  • yellowcard Everson 68'
  • yellowcard Victor Ferraz 86'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 91'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 12, 2018 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alison 56' yellowcard
  • Yuri 77' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Pereira 29'
  • yellowcard Marcio Araujo 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 22, 2018 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Wellington Paulista 5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 12'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Sasha 54'
  • yellowcard David Braz 66'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gomes 86'