Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Breno Bidon 12'
André Luiz Santos Dias 63'
Vitinho 63'
Matheus Pereira 63'
Matheus Pereira 64'
Guilherme William Silva Inácio 78'
Pedro Raul 78'
Gui Negão 78'

Jean Lucas 32'
Willian Jose 45'+1'
Willian José 45'+1'
Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 64'
Cristian Olivera 64'
Dell 64'
Erick 68'
Rodrigo Nestor 77'
Michel Araujo 78'
Michel Araújo 78'

Corinthians vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

W
D
L
W
D
L

Brasileiro

D
L
D
L
W
L

Last game

Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm

Corinthians 1 - 1 Juventude

Goals scored

4

Top scorer

Breno Bidon

Bahia

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
D

Brasileiro

L
W
D
W
L
D

Last game

Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm

Fluminense 2 - 0 Bahia

Goals scored

4

Top scorer

Jean Lucas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.78% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Corinthians 44.71% ▼ (-0.80)

Draw 27.78% ▲ (+0.07)

Bahia 27.51% ▲ (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score:

48.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.85%

Under 1.5 31.15%

Over 2.5 42.98% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 57.02% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 3.5 21.63% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 3.5 78.37% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 4.5 10.82% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 4.5 89.18% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 34.09% ▼ (-0.39)

Draw 45.14% ▼ (-0.08)

Bahia 20.77% ▲ (+0.47)

Team To Score First

Corinthians 54.3% ▼ (-0.54)

No Goal 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Bahia 36.17% ▲ (+0.53)

Corners

Over 8 59.11% ▲ (+0.25)

Equal 8 11.37% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 8 29.52% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 9 47.4% ▲ (+0.25)

Equal 9 11.71%

Under 9 40.89% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 10.5 36.35% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 10.5 63.65% ▼ (-0.24)

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 39.04% ▼ (-0.62)

Under 1.5 60.96% ▲ (+0.62)

Over 2.5 15.04% ▼ (-0.44)

Under 2.5 84.96% ▲ (+0.43)

Over 3.5 4.61% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 3.5 95.39% ▲ (+0.22)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 60.99% ▲ (+0.61)

Under 0.5 39.01% ▼ (-0.61)

Over 1.5 25.94% ▲ (+0.59)

Under 1.5 74.06% ▼ (-0.58)

Over 2.5 8.05% ▲ (+0.36)

Under 2.5 91.95% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 3.5 1.86% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 3.5 98.14% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Corinthians 44.71%

Draw 27.77%

Bahia 27.51%

Corinthians

1-0 @ 12.71% ▼ (-0.14)

2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.12)

2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.12)

3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.13)

3-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.22)

Total : 44.71%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.07)

0-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.03%

Total : 27.77%

Bahia

0-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.15)

1-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.13)

0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.13)

1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.11)

2-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.06)

0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.11)

Other @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.11)

Total : 27.51%

Head to Head

Aug 17, 2025 1.00am

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 31, 2025 12.00am

1

1

HT : 2 0

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Everton Ribeiro 43'
Everton Ribeiro 43'
Gilberto 45'+1'
Gilberto 45'+1'
Everton Ribeiro 51'
Everton Ribeiro 51'
Jean Lucas 63'
Jean Lucas 63'
Gabriel Xavier 73'
Gabriel Xavier 73'

Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 62'
Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 62'
Breno Bidon 85'
Breno Bidon 85'
Hector Hernandez 90'
Hector Hernandez 90'

Dec 3, 2024 11.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Arena Corinthians

Memphis Depay 12'
Yuri Alberto 45'+4'
Memphis Depay 61'
Gustavo Henrique 68'
Raniele 69'

Gabriel Xavier 59'
Luciano Rodriguez 68'
Nicolas Acevedo 68'
Jean Lucas 73'

Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Caio Alexandre 27'
Gustavo Henrique 37'
Gabriel Teixeira 54'
Victor Cuesta 65'

Ryan 36'
Angel Romero 37'
Gustavo Henrique 39'
Kanu 90'+2'
Andre Ramalho 90'+4'

Nov 25, 2023 12.00am

1

5

HT : 0 3

FT Arena Corinthians

Gil 27'
Renato Augusto 30'
Renato Augusto 67'

Rezende 4'
Cauly Oliveira Souza 16'
Thaciano 29'
Vitor Hugo 45'+2'
Thaciano 50'
Gilberto 64'
Ademir 75'
Thaciano 85'

Jul 22, 2023 10.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Kanu 86'
Ademir 90'+2'
Yago 90'+6'

Murillo 90'
Gil 90'+3'

Form Data

Vasco 1 - 2 Corinthians

Corinthians 0 - 0 Vasco

Corinthians 1 - 2 Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Corinthians

Corinthians 1 - 1 Juventude

Fortaleza 2 - 1 Corinthians

Fluminense 2 - 0 Bahia

Bahia 2 - 0 Sport

Juventude 1 - 1 Bahia

Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco

Bahia 2 - 3 Fortaleza

Internacional 2 - 2 Bahia