Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.