Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 11, 2026 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Igor Formiga 21' goal
  • Alesson 69' yellowcard
  • André Luis  69' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca  69' yellowcard
  • Negueba 71' goal
  • Antonio Galeano 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pires 79' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 65'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 65'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 66'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 66'
  • yellowcard Zé Ivaldo 74'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 74'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 88'

Mirassol vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Flamengo 0 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Negueba

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Santos had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 48.28% (-0.04)
Draw 25.52%
Santos 26.2% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.59% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.38% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.16% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.84% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.47%
Over 4.5 15.1% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.9% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 38.09%
Draw 41.33%
Santos 20.58%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 57.8% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.96% (+0.01)
Santos 35.24%

Corners

Over 8 67.56% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.18%
Under 8 22.26% (+0.03)
Over 9 56.32% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 32.44% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 44.98% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.02% (+0.04)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 45.57% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.43% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.84% (-0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 62.3% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.7% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.94% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 72.06% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.76% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.57% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 48.28%
Draw 25.54%
Santos 26.19%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.05% (+0.01)
Total : 48.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 25.54%
Santos
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.19%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 19, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT