Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 11, 2026 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Igor Formiga 21' goal
  • Alesson 69' yellowcard
  • André Luis  69' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca  69' yellowcard
  • Negueba 71' goal
  • Antonio Galeano 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pires 79' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 65'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 65'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 66'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 66'
  • yellowcard Zé Ivaldo 74'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 74'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 88'

Mirassol vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Flamengo 0 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Negueba

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Santos has a probability of 26.2% and a draw has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Santos win is 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Mirassol 48.28% (-0.04)
Draw 25.52%
Santos 26.2% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.59% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.38% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.16% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.84% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.47%
Over 4.5 15.1% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.9% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 38.09%
Draw 41.33%
Santos 20.58%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 57.8% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.96% (+0.01)
Santos 35.24%

Corners

Over 8 67.56% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.18%
Under 8 22.26% (+0.03)
Over 9 56.32% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 32.44% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 44.98% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.02% (+0.04)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 45.57% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.43% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.84% (-0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 62.3% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.7% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.94% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 72.06% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.76% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.57% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 48.28%
Draw 25.54%
Santos 26.19%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.05% (+0.01)
Total : 48.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 25.54%
Santos
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.19%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 19, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT