Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Neymar 25' goal
  • Álvaro Barreal 46' yellowcard
  • Rony 60' yellowcard
  • Neymar 61' goal
  • João Schmidt 78' yellowcard
  • Zé Rafael 78' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 84' yellowcard
  • goal Cauan Barros 43'
  • yellowcard Marino Hinestroza 70'
  • yellowcard Brenner 70'
  • yellowcard Cuiabano 70'
  • yellowcard David 75'
  • yellowcard Tchê Tchê 84'
  • yellowcard Tchê Tchê 85'

Santos vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 10.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Neymar

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.93% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Santos 54.32% (-0.03)
Draw 25.93% (-0.02)
Vasco da Gama 19.75% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.98%
Under 1.5 31.02%
Over 2.5 43.33%
Under 2.5 56.67%
Over 3.5 22.38% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 77.62% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.32% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.68% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Santos 40.35%
Draw 42.54%
Vasco da Gama 17.11%

Team To Score First

Santos 62.21% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.25% (+0.02)
Vasco da Gama 28.54% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.86% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.79% (+0.01)
Over 9 47.21%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 41.14% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.21%
Under 10.5 63.79%

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 45.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 79.85% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.31%
Under 3.5 92.69%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 53.11% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 46.89% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 19.44% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 80.56% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 4.94% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.07%
Under 3.5 98.93%

Score analysis

Santos 54.33%
Draw 25.93%
Vasco da Gama 19.76%
Santos
1-0 @ 14.45%
2-0 @ 10.51% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 7.27%
Total : 54.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.25% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 25.93%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 4.88% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 19.76%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 17, 2025 8.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 30, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Lucas Piton 33' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 53' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 78' goal
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 21'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Chermont Crema 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Marcos Leonardo 15' goal
  • Dodo 24' yellowcard
  • Tomas Rincon 45'+1' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 45'+3' goal
  • Tomas Rincon 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 60' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Lima 60' redcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 61' redcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 75' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 31'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Ferreira 55'
  • redcard Gary Medel 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • goal Deivid Washington 29'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Dec 20, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlinhos 9' goal
  • Jadson 44' yellowcard
  • Henrique 90'+7' yellowcard
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2020 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lucas Verissimo 21' goal
  • Jobson 27' yellowcard
  • Marinho 59' goal
  • goal Fellipe Bastos 41'
  • yellowcard Matheus dos Santos Miranda 58'
  • yellowcard Miranda 58'
  • goal German Cano 73'
  • yellowcard Henrique 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Parede 90'+5'