Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 10.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw has a probability of 26.29% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (7.62%).

Result

Santos 53.72% (+0.08)
Draw 26.29% (-0.02)
Vasco da Gama 20.02% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.39% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.12% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 31.88% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 57.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 21.78% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.22% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.97%
Under 4.5 88.03%

First Half Winner

Santos 40.35%
Draw 42.54%
Vasco da Gama 17.11%

Team To Score First

Santos 61.93% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.64% (+0.01)
Vasco da Gama 28.43% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.93% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.71% (-0.01)
Over 9 47.24%
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.07% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.22% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.78% (-0.01)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 44.85% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 55.15% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 19.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.1% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.9% (-0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 53% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 47% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 19.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.75% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.87% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 95.13% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.06%
Under 3.5 98.94%

Score analysis

Santos 53.72%
Draw 26.29%
Vasco da Gama 20.02%
Santos
1-0 @ 14.65% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.4% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.05% (+0.01)
Total : 53.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.29%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 17, 2025 8.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 30, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Lucas Piton 33' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 53' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 78' goal
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 21'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro Chermont Crema 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Marcos Leonardo 15' goal
  • Dodo 24' yellowcard
  • Tomas Rincon 45'+1' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 45'+3' goal
  • Tomas Rincon 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 60' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Lima 60' redcard
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 61' redcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 75' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 31'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Ferreira 55'
  • redcard Gary Medel 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • goal Deivid Washington 29'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Dec 20, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlinhos 9' goal
  • Jadson 44' yellowcard
  • Henrique 90'+7' yellowcard
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2020 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lucas Verissimo 21' goal
  • Jobson 27' yellowcard
  • Marinho 59' goal
  • goal Fellipe Bastos 41'
  • yellowcard Matheus dos Santos Miranda 58'
  • yellowcard Miranda 58'
  • goal German Cano 73'
  • yellowcard Henrique 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Parede 90'+5'