Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Chapecoense has a probability of 28.16% and a draw has a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chapecoense win is 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).