Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Paulo Henrique 63' yellowcard
  • Marino Hinestroza 64' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 64' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Souza da Silva 77' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas Echavarria 83' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas Echavarria 84' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano 22'
  • yellowcard Erick da Costa Farias 58'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 58'
  • yellowcard Willian Jose 58'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 58'
  • yellowcard Erick 72'
  • yellowcard Erick 73'
  • yellowcard Caio Alexandre 83'

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 11.00pm
Vasco 1 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Philippe Coutinho

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 44.06% (-0.68)
Draw 26.69% (+0.04)
Bahia 29.28% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.95% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 27.05% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 48.29% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 51.67% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 26.17% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.83% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.77% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 86.23% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 33.82% (-0.40)
Draw 45.32% (+0.21)
Bahia 20.86% (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 57.11% (-0.74)
No Goal 7.79% (+0.03)
Bahia 35.1% (+0.72)

Corners

Over 8 54.86% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.82% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.32% (+0.48)
Over 9 43.08% (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.06)
Under 9 45.14% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 32.33% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 67.67% (+0.33)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 41.5% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 58.5% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 16.69% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 83.31% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 5.51% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 94.49% (+0.26)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 64.15% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 35.85% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 30.16% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 69.84% (-0.51)
Over 2.5 10.43% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 89.57% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 2.78% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.22% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 44.07%
Draw 26.68%
Bahia 29.27%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.2% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 5.48% (-0.26)
Total : 44.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.79% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 26.68%
Bahia
0-1 @ 8.08% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 7.16% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.6% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.75% (+0.09)
Total : 29.27%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 23, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 23, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 29, 2024 12.00am
3
2
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Emerson Rodriguez 12' goal
  • Emerson Rodriguez 12' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 18' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 18' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 32' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 32' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Galdames 40' yellowcard
  • Maicon 53' yellowcard
  • Maicon 53' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 84' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 24'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 24'
  • goal Luciano Rodriguez 42'
  • goal Luciano Rodriguez 42'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 51'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 51'
  • goal Ademir 75'
  • goal Ademir 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Thaciano 7' goal
  • Thaciano 7' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 86' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 86' goal
  • goal Paulo Henrique 20'
  • goal Paulo Henrique 20'
  • yellowcard Adson 32'
  • yellowcard Adson 32'
  • yellowcard David 38'
  • yellowcard David 38'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 55'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 55'
  • redcard David 59'
  • redcard David 59'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 81'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Gilberto 20' yellowcard
  • Ademir 45' goal
  • Vitor Hugo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 41'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 63'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 72'
  • redcard Jair 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
May 2, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • goal Thaciano 44'