Feb 12, 2026 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Andrés Gómez 45'+4'
Paulo Henrique 63'
Marino Hinestroza 64'
Claudio Spinelli 64'
Thiago Mendes 74'
Gabriel Souza da Silva 77'
GB 77'
Johan Rojas Echavarria 83'
Johan Rojas 83'
Johan Rojas Echavarria 84'
José Luis Rodríguez 87'
Cauan Barros 90'+5'
Paulo Henrique 90'+8'
90'+8'

Kanu 19'
Luciano Juba 22'
Cristian Olivera 34'
Nicolás Acevedo 52'
Erick da Costa Farias 58'
Gabriel Xavier 58'
Willian Jose 58'
Everaldo Stum 58'
Everaldo 58'
Erick Pulga 58'
Erick 72'
Erick 73'
Caio Alexandre 83'
Caio Alexandre 90'+6'
Ronaldo 90'+8'

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

D
L
L
D
L
W

Brasileiro

D
L
L
L
W
L

Last game

Feb 5, 2026 11.00pm

Vasco 1 - 1 Chapecoense

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Andrés Gómez

Bahia

All competitions

D
W
L
W
D
W

Brasileiro

D
W
L
W
D
W

Last game

Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm

Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense

Goals scored

50

Top scorer

Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 44.06% ▼ (-0.68)

Draw 26.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Bahia 29.28% ▲ (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score:

52.28% ▼ (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 1.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 2.5 48.29% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 2.5 51.67% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 3.5 26.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 3.5 73.83% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 13.77% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 4.5 86.23% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 33.82% ▼ (-0.40)

Draw 45.32% ▲ (+0.21)

Bahia 20.86% ▲ (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 57.11% ▼ (-0.74)

No Goal 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Bahia 35.1% ▲ (+0.72)

Corners

Over 8 54.86% ▼ (-0.47)

Equal 8 11.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 8 33.32% ▲ (+0.48)

Over 9 43.08% ▼ (-0.42)

Equal 9 11.78% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 9 45.14% ▲ (+0.47)

Over 10.5 32.33% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 10.5 67.67% ▲ (+0.33)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 41.5% ▼ (-0.65)

Under 1.5 58.5% ▲ (+0.65)

Over 2.5 16.69% ▼ (-0.45)

Under 2.5 83.31% ▲ (+0.46)

Over 3.5 5.51% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 3.5 94.49% ▲ (+0.26)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 64.15% ▲ (+0.56)

Under 0.5 35.85% ▼ (-0.55)

Over 1.5 30.16% ▲ (+0.52)

Under 1.5 69.84% ▼ (-0.51)

Over 2.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 2.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 3.5 2.78% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 97.22% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 44.07%

Draw 26.68%

Bahia 29.27%

Vasco da Gama

1-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.06)

2-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.21)

3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.11)

3-2 @ 2.44%

Other @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.26)

Total : 44.07%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.36% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.03%

Total : 26.68%

Bahia

0-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.16)

1-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.15)

1-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.10)

2-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.09)

0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.09)

Total : 29.27%

Head to Head

Nov 23, 2025 7.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Santiago Ramos Mingo 35'
Erick Pulga 73'
Santiago Ramos Mingo 84'

Cauan Barros 45'+1'
Rayan 48'
David 68'
Tchê Tchê 90'+9'

Sep 24, 2025 11.30pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

David 44'
Philippe Coutinho 45'+1'
José Luis Rodríguez 60'
Luciano Juba 77'

M. Sanabria 31'
Jean Lucas 36'
Gilberto 44'
M. Sanabria 63'

Oct 29, 2024 12.00am

3

2

HT : 6 2

FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Emerson Rodriguez 12'
Emerson Rodriguez 12'
Dimitri Payet 18'
Dimitri Payet 18'
Dimitri Payet 32'
Dimitri Payet 32'
Pablo Galdames 40'
Pablo Galdames 40'
Maicon 53'
Maicon 53'
Dimitri Payet 84'
Dimitri Payet 84'

Gabriel Xavier 24'
Gabriel Xavier 24'
Luciano Rodriguez 42'
Luciano Rodriguez 42'
Thaciano 51'
Thaciano 51'
Ademir 75'
Ademir 75'

Jun 27, 2024 1.30am

2

1

HT : 2 2

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Thaciano 7'
Thaciano 7'
Oscar Estupinan 86'
Oscar Estupinan 86'

Paulo Henrique 20'
Paulo Henrique 20'
Adson 32'
Adson 32'
David 38'
David 38'
Matheus Carvalho 55'
Matheus Carvalho 55'
David 59'
David 59'
Paulo Henrique 81'
Paulo Henrique 81'

Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Gilberto 20'
Ademir 45'
Vitor Hugo 88'

Leo Pele 41'
Pablo Vegetti 63'
Gary Medel 72'
Jair 90'+4'
Ze Vitor 90'+8'

May 2, 2023 12.00am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT EstÃ¡dio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Thaciano 44'

Form Data

Vasco 1 - 1 Chapecoense

Mirassol 2 - 1 Vasco

Vasco 1 - 2 Corinthians

Corinthians 0 - 0 Vasco

Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco

Vasco 2 - 1 Fluminense

Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense

Corinthians 1 - 2 Bahia

Fluminense 2 - 0 Bahia

Bahia 2 - 0 Sport

Juventude 1 - 1 Bahia

Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco