Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Cristian Olivera 62' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 62' yellowcard
  • Erick 62' yellowcard
  • Mateo Sanabria 69' yellowcard
  • M. Sanabria 69' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 78' goal
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 80' yellowcard
  • Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 81' yellowcard
  • goal John Kennedy 20'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 60'
  • yellowcard Ganso 79'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 79'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 89'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 89'
  • yellowcard Lima 89'

Bahia vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm
Corinthians 1 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 10.30pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.87% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Fluminense win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 55.77% (+0.02)
Draw 23.87% (+0.04)
Fluminense 20.36% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.41%
Under 1.5 23.59%
Over 2.5 52.67%
Under 2.5 47.33% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.44% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.56% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.7% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.3% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bahia 44.78% (+0.07)
Draw 40.55% (-0.11)
Fluminense 14.67% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bahia 59.75% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.56% (+0.01)
Fluminense 33.69% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.61% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.29% (-0.20)
Over 9 47.22% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.38% (+0.05)
Under 9 41.39% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 36.49% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 63.51% (-0.10)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 52.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 75.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.52% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.48% (-0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 57.26% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.74% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.96% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 76.04% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.5% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.25% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bahia 55.76%
Draw 23.86%
Fluminense 20.36%
Bahia
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.95%
2-0 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
Other @ 9.36% (+0.02)
Total : 55.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 23.86%
Fluminense
1-2 @ 5.61% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nonato 9' yellowcard
  • Nonato 10' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 68' yellowcard
  • Ganso 75' goal
  • Thiago Silva 83' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 20'
  • yellowcard Erick da Costa Farias 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+2'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 10, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Aug 10, 2025 1.00am
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 14' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 25' yellowcard
  • Thiago 36' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 45' goal
  • Thiago Silva 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 84'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Caio Alexandre 20' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 20' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 34' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 34' goal
  • Thaciano 40' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 40' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 54' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 54' yellowcard
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 61' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 61' goal
  • Ganso 89' yellowcard
  • Ganso 89' yellowcard
  • goal German Cano 4'
  • goal German Cano 4'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 47'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 47'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 51'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 51'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 70'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 70'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 77'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 77'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 88'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 88'