Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm
Corinthians 1 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 10.30pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Nonato

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw has a probability of 23.87% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Fluminense win it is 1-2 (5.61%).

Result

Bahia 55.77% (+0.02)
Draw 23.87% (+0.04)
Fluminense 20.36% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.41%
Under 1.5 23.59%
Over 2.5 52.67%
Under 2.5 47.33% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.44% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.56% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.7% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.3% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bahia 44.78% (+0.07)
Draw 40.55% (-0.11)
Fluminense 14.67% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bahia 59.75% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.56% (+0.01)
Fluminense 33.69% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.61% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.29% (-0.20)
Over 9 47.22% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.38% (+0.05)
Under 9 41.39% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 36.49% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 63.51% (-0.10)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 52.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 75.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.52% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.48% (-0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 57.26% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.74% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.96% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 76.04% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.5% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.5% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.25% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bahia 55.76%
Draw 23.86%
Fluminense 20.36%
Bahia
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.95%
2-0 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
Other @ 9.36% (+0.02)
Total : 55.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 23.86%
Fluminense
1-2 @ 5.61% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nonato 9' yellowcard
  • Nonato 10' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 68' yellowcard
  • Ganso 75' goal
  • Thiago Silva 83' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 20'
  • yellowcard Erick da Costa Farias 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+2'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 10, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Aug 10, 2025 1.00am
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 14' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 25' yellowcard
  • Thiago 36' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 45' goal
  • Thiago Silva 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 84'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Caio Alexandre 20' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 20' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 34' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 34' goal
  • Thaciano 40' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 40' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 54' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 54' yellowcard
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 61' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 61' goal
  • Ganso 89' yellowcard
  • Ganso 89' yellowcard
  • goal German Cano 4'
  • goal German Cano 4'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 47'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 47'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 51'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 51'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 70'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 70'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 77'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 77'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 88'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 88'