Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.87% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Fluminense win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.