Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Cristian Olivera 62'
Caio Alexandre 62'
Erick 62'
Mateo Sanabria 69'
M. Sanabria 69'
Cristian Olivera 78'
79'
Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 80'
Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 81'
Dell 88'

John Kennedy 20'
Nonato 53'
Facundo Bernal 60'
Jemmes 66'
Ganso 79'
Santiago Moreno 79'
79'
Guilherme Arana 89'
Vinicius Lima 89'
Lima 89'
Lima 90'

Bahia vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions

W
L
W
D
W
L

Brasileiro

W
L
W
D
W
L

Last game

Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm

Corinthians 1 - 2 Bahia

Goals scored

50

Top scorer

Luciano Juba

Fluminense

All competitions

W
W
L
W
W
W

Brasileiro

W
W
W
W
D
W

Last game

Jan 28, 2026 10.30pm

Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.87% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Fluminense win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 55.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Draw 23.87% ▲ (+0.04)

Fluminense 20.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

52.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.41%

Under 1.5 23.59%

Over 2.5 52.67%

Under 2.5 47.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 29.44% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 3.5 70.56% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 4.5 16.7% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 4.5 83.3% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bahia 44.78% ▲ (+0.07)

Draw 40.55% ▼ (-0.11)

Fluminense 14.67% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bahia 59.75% ▼ (-0.11)

No Goal 6.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Fluminense 33.69% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.61% ▲ (+0.18)

Equal 8 11.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 30.29% ▼ (-0.20)

Over 9 47.22% ▲ (+0.12)

Equal 9 11.38% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 9 41.39% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 10.5 36.49% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 10.5 63.51% ▼ (-0.10)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 52.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 47.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 24.71% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 75.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 90.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 57.26% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 0.5 42.74% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 1.5 23.96% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 76.04% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 2.5 7.5% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 92.5% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 98.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bahia 55.76%

Draw 23.86%

Fluminense 20.36%

Bahia

1-0 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 10.95%

2-0 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 55.76%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.01%

Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 23.86%

Fluminense

1-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.03)

0-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 20.36%

Head to Head

Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Nonato 9'
Nonato 9'
Nonato 10'
Samuel Xavier 68'
Samuel Xavier 68'
Ganso 75'
Thiago Silva 83'

Nicolas Acevedo 20'
Nicolás Acevedo 20'
Erick da Costa Farias 74'
Erick Pulga 74'
Rodrigo Nestor 90'+2'

Sep 10, 2025 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Agustín Canobbio 44'
Agustín Canobbio 55'
Juan Pablo Freytes 66'
Thiago Silva 84'

Nicolás Acevedo 21'
Kayky 40'
Iago 71'
Ronaldo 71'
Cauly 89'

Aug 28, 2025 11.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Luciano Rodríguez 75'
Luciano Juba 86'

Renê 57'

Aug 10, 2025 1.00am

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Facundo Bernal 13'
Everton Ribeiro 19'
Jean Lucas 45'+4'
Everton Ribeiro 57'
Luciano Juba 89'

Germán Cano 9'
Germán Cano 49'
Facundo Bernal 45'+7'
Thiago Santos 59'
Nonato 72'
Juan Pablo Freytes 90'+6'

Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Kaua Elias Nogueira 14'
Diogo Barbosa 25'
Thiago 36'
Kaua Elias Nogueira 45'
Thiago Silva 62'

Carlos de Pena 84'
Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+2'

Apr 17, 2024 1.30am

2

1

HT : 2 2

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Caio Alexandre 20'
Caio Alexandre 20'
Caio Alexandre 34'
Caio Alexandre 34'
Thaciano 40'
Thaciano 40'
Everton Ribeiro 54'
Everton Ribeiro 54'
Cauly Oliveira Souza 61'
Cauly Oliveira Souza 61'
Ganso 89'
Ganso 89'

German Cano 4'
German Cano 4'
Vinicius Lima 47'
Vinicius Lima 47'
Martinelli 51'
Martinelli 51'
John Kennedy 70'
John Kennedy 70'
Alexsander 77'
Alexsander 77'
Everaldo Stum 88'
Everaldo Stum 88'

Form Data

Corinthians 1 - 2 Bahia

Fluminense 2 - 0 Bahia

Bahia 2 - 0 Sport

Juventude 1 - 1 Bahia

Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco

Bahia 2 - 3 Fortaleza

Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio

Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco

Vasco 2 - 1 Fluminense

Fluminense 2 - 0 Bahia

Gremio 1 - 2 Fluminense

Fluminense 6 - 0 Sao Paulo