Brasileiro
Jan 28, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Nonato 46' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 59' goal
  • Facundo Bernal 78' yellowcard
  • Ganso 78' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 79' yellowcard
  • Santiago Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 90' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavón 60'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 61'
  • yellowcard Willian 61'
  • yellowcard Willian 62'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 74'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 74'
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 75'
  • goal Carlos Vinícius 75'
  • yellowcard Andre Henrique 86'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 86'

Fluminense vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Sport 0 - 4 Gremio
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.29% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 50.56%
Draw 25.29% (-0.04)
Gremio 24.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.95% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.55% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.45% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.41% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 53.59% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 24.59% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 75.41% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 12.91% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 87.09% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 32.61%
Draw 48.09%
Gremio 19.3%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 57.97% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.77% (-0.06)
Gremio 34.26% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.97%
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 33.35%
Over 9 43.34%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 45.03%
Over 10.5 32.7%
Under 10.5 67.3%

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 44.5% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.5% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.67% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.33% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.4% (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 59.23% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.04% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fluminense 50.55%
Draw 25.3%
Gremio 24.14%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.3%
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.59% (+0.02)
Total : 50.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.3%
Gremio
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 3, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andre Henrique 54' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 58' yellowcard
  • Arthur 61' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Martins 78' yellowcard
  • goal Yeferson Soteldo 19'
  • goal Yeferson Soteldo 52'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 86'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 2, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Jhon Arias 43' goal
  • Jhon Arias 43' goal
  • Martinelli 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ganso 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ganso 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 66' goal
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 66' goal
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 78' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 78' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Fabio 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Fabio 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+10' redcard
  • Felipe Melo 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 26'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 26'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 31'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 31'
  • yellowcard Renato Portaluppi 32'
  • yellowcard Renato Portaluppi 32'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 36'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 36'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 45'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 45'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 88'
  • yellowcard Kaua Elias Nogueira 88'
  • goal Reinaldo 90'+9'
  • goal Reinaldo 90'+9'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 20, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Thiago Silva 14' goal
  • Jhon Arias 28' goal
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 31' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 33' yellowcard
  • Guga 69' yellowcard
  • Ganso 73' yellowcard
  • Jemerson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 27'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 30'
  • yellowcard Renato Portaluppi 72'
  • goal Gustavo Nunes 76'
  • yellowcard Ganso 84'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 13, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Agustin Marchesin 68' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 72' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 74' goal
  • Reinaldo 77' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 84' redcard
  • goal Vinicius Lima 58'
  • yellowcard Ganso 68'
  • yellowcard Thiago 72'
  • yellowcard Esquerdinha 76'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Pedro Geromel 36' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Nunes 61' goal
  • yellowcard German Cano 39'
  • yellowcard Jan Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez 52'
  • redcard Jan Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez 87'