Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.27% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.