Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.