Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • JP Chermont 33' yellowcard
  • Pedro Rangel 56' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Lavega 69' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 69' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 69' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cauly 57'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri 64'
  • yellowcard Lucas Moura 65'
  • yellowcard Luan Santos 75'
  • yellowcard Damián Bobadilla 83'

Coritiba vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Coritiba
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Coritiba 37.82%
Draw 29.23% (+0.04)
Sao Paulo 32.99% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.68% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 33.32% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 40.29%
Under 2.5 59.71%
Over 3.5 19.87%
Under 3.5 80.13%
Over 4.5 9.75% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 31.94%
Draw 46.37%
Sao Paulo 21.68%

Team To Score First

Coritiba 52.28% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.32% (+0.01)
Sao Paulo 37.4% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.81% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.05)
Under 8 30.22% (-0.11)
Over 9 45.58%
Equal 9 12.22% (+0.06)
Under 9 42.19% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 34.2% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.8% (+0.04)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 32.74% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.26% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.24% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.76% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.97% (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 64.81% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.19% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.23%
Under 1.5 70.77%
Over 2.5 9.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.09% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.27% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Coritiba 37.82%
Draw 29.22%
Sao Paulo 32.99%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.48% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 10.32% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 29.22%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.99%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 27, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • James Rodriguez 3' goal
  • 25' goal
  • Alan Franco 30' goal
  • Luciano 45'+13' goal
  • Luan 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robson 6'
  • goal Islam Slimani 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 69'
  • yellowcard Henrique 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Bruno Gomes 12' goal
  • goal Marcos Paulo 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 21, 2022 12.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Calleri 2' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 63' goal
  • Luciano 72' goal
  • goal Matheus Cadorini 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 10, 2022 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emmanuel Martinez 38' yellowcard
  • Alef Manga 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alef Manga 59' goal
  • Igor Paixao 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 4'
  • yellowcard Diego 30'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 75'
  • yellowcard Eder 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Jan 23, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano 59' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 70'
  • goal Martin Sarrafiore 82'
  • yellowcard Matheus Galdezani 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2020 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robson 6' goal
  • Robson 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juanfran 5'
  • yellowcard Luciano 50'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Gomes 56'
  • goal Reinaldo 69'