Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Arena Condá

Chapecoense vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 11.00pm
Vasco 1 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 12.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Coritiba
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Joaquin Lavega

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chapecoense win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Coritiba has a probability of 33.27% and a draw has a probability of 28.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Coritiba win is 0-1 (10.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.84%).

Result

Chapecoense 38.3% (-0.46)
Draw 28.43% (+0.15)
Coritiba 33.27% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.72%
Under 1.5 30.28%
Over 2.5 43.41% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.59% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.66% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.34% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 11.59% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88.41% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 30.19% (-0.28)
Draw 47.88% (+0.11)
Coritiba 21.93% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 51.42% (-0.66)
No Goal 8.85% (+0.02)
Coritiba 39.73% (+0.64)

Corners

Over 8 65.19% (+1.37)
Equal 8 10.3% (-0.23)
Under 8 24.51% (-1.14)
Over 9 54.07% (+1.50)
Equal 9 11.12% (-0.13)
Under 9 34.81% (-1.37)
Over 10.5 43.04% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 56.96% (-1.50)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 34.97% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 65.03% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 12.37% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.63% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.63% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.37% (+0.04)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 66.78% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 33.22% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 30.96% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 69.04% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 10.77% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 89.23% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 2.97% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.03% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 38.32%
Draw 28.44%
Coritiba 33.25%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.59% (-0.07)
Total : 38.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.84% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 28.44%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 10.18% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.51% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.93% (+0.06)
Total : 33.25%