Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Condá
  • Walter Clar 45' goal
  • Higor Meritao 46' yellowcard
  • Meritão 46' yellowcard
  • Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor de Souza Martins 69' yellowcard
  • Italo de Vargas da Rosa 69' yellowcard
  • Rubens 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor 69' yellowcard
  • Italo Vargas 69' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vinicius Domachowski 71' goal
  • Doma 71' goal
  • Yannick Bolasie 87' yellowcard
  • Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 90'+1' goal
  • Rubens 90'+1' goal
  • goal Breno Lopes 41'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos 55'
  • yellowcard Jacy Maranhao Oliveira 55'
  • yellowcard Vini Paulista 55'
  • yellowcard Jacy 55'
  • goal Breno Lopes 57'
  • goal Pedro Rocha 59'
  • yellowcard Fernando Sobral 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Vágner Moraes de Souza 73'
  • yellowcard Enzo Vagner Moraes de Souza 73'
  • yellowcard Keno 83'

Chapecoense vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 11.00pm
Vasco 1 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 12.30am
Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Coritiba
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Joaquin Lavega

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Chapecoense 38.46% (+0.17)
Draw 28.7% (+0.27)
Coritiba 32.84% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.37% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.61% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 30.39% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 43.18% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 56.82% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 22.54% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 77.46% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 11.52% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 88.48% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 29.82% (-0.38)
Draw 48.27% (+0.40)
Coritiba 21.91% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 51.77% (+0.36)
No Goal 8.99% (+0.15)
Coritiba 39.24% (-0.49)

Corners

Over 8 64.74% (-0.46)
Equal 8 10.32% (+0.02)
Under 8 24.94% (+0.43)
Over 9 53.64% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.1% (-0.02)
Under 9 35.26% (+0.45)
Over 10.5 42.67% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 57.33% (+0.37)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 35.04% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.96% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.44% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 87.56% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.66% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.34% (-0.04)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 66.51% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 33.49% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 30.71% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 69.29% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 10.56% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 89.44% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 38.46%
Draw 28.69%
Coritiba 32.85%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 11.3% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.01% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.6% (+0.02)
Total : 38.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.91% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.99% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.02)
Total : 28.69%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.87% (-0.07)
Total : 32.85%