Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 24' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 32' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' goal
  • Luciano 64' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 70' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 70' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 71' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 85' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 52'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 53'
  • yellowcard Andre Henrique 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 68'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 68'
  • yellowcard Jose Enamorado 69'
  • yellowcard Cristian Pavon 70'
  • yellowcard 70'

Sao Paulo vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 11.00pm
Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2026 12.30am
Gremio 5 - 3 Botafogo
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.87% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.94%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 51.82% (-0.01)
Draw 24.87% (-0.01)
Gremio 23.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.14% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.92% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.08% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 48.7% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.3% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.95% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.05% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.2% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.8% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 35.71%
Draw 46.43%
Gremio 17.86%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 56.57% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.5% (+0.02)
Gremio 35.93% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.5%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 30%
Over 9 46.71%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 41.5%
Over 10.5 35.64%
Under 10.5 64.36%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 46.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.25% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.41% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.59% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.28% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.72% (+0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 59.13% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.34%
Under 1.5 75.66%
Over 2.5 7.65%
Under 2.5 92.35%
Over 3.5 1.79%
Under 3.5 98.21%

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 51.82%
Draw 24.88%
Gremio 23.31%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.42% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 7.23% (-0.02)
Total : 51.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 24.88%
Gremio
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.31%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 16, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Pablo Maia 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 30' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 49' goal
  • Robert Arboleda 49' goal
  • 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Luciano 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 85' goal
  • Andre Silva 85' goal
  • Oscar 86' yellowcard
  • Oscar 86' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 4'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 4'
  • goal Alexander Aravena 37'
  • goal Alexander Aravena 37'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 64'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 64'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 79'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Dec 1, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 36' goal
  • Ruan 45'+2' goal
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Gustavo 64'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 10' goal
  • Lucas Moura 10' goal
  • Igor Vinicius 38' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 41' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 42' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Rafael Pires 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+9' redcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+9' redcard
  • Welington 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Welington 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 23'
  • yellowcard Pepe 23'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 31'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 31'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 80'
  • yellowcard Rafael Pires 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Michel Araujo 21' goal
  • Pablo Maia 43' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 68' goal
  • Luciano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 21'
  • yellowcard Josue 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 31' goal
  • Reinaldo 39' goal
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 15'