Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2026 12.30am
5
3
HT : 1 2
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Carlos Vinicius 26' goal
  • Francis Amuzu 46' yellowcard
  • Willian 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vinicius 50' goal
  • Carlos Vinicius 57' yellowcard
  • Tete 60' goal
  • Edenilson 68' yellowcard
  • Andre Henrique 68' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 79' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Arthur Cabral 17'
  • yellowcard Artur 19'
  • goal Danilo 36'
  • yellowcard Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 61'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 62'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ribeiro 82'
  • yellowcard Marcos Souza 82'
  • goal Danilo 86'

Gremio vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 10.30pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 12.30am
Botafogo 4 - 0 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Gremio 45.97% (-0.72)
Draw 25.7% (+0.33)
Botafogo 28.33% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% (-1.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.93% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 26.07% (+0.88)
Over 2.5 49.31% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 50.69% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 27.7% (-1.13)
Under 3.5 72.33% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 15.47% (-0.91)
Under 4.5 84.53% (+0.91)

First Half Winner

Gremio 36.3% (-0.07)
Draw 45.19% (+0.01)
Botafogo 18.5% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Gremio 60.43% (-0.18)
No Goal 7.19% (+0.35)
Botafogo 32.38% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 17.05% (-37.50)
Equal 8 6.63% (-5.71)
Under 8 76.31% (+43.20)
Over 9 12.44% (-29.85)
Equal 9 4.62% (-7.65)
Under 9 82.95% (+37.50)
Over 10.5 9.33% (-21.81)
Under 10.5 90.67% (+21.81)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 43.24% (-1.12)
Under 1.5 56.76% (+1.12)
Over 2.5 18.74% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 81.26% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 6.66% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 93.34% (+0.44)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 63.38% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.62% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.52% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 70.48% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 10.29% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 89.71% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 3.01% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 96.99% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Gremio 45.97%
Draw 25.7%
Botafogo 28.33%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.06% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.18)
Other @ 6.59% (-0.46)
Total : 45.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.19% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.03)
Total : 25.7%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 7.82% (+0.40)
1-2 @ 6.88% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.4% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.94% (-0.15)
Total : 28.33%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 22, 2025 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Sep 24, 2025 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Brasilia
  • Bastos 14' yellowcard
  • Bastos 14' yellowcard
  • Bastos 86' goal
  • Agustin Marchesin 88' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 88' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marlon Freitas 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 65'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 65'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 83'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 83'
  • yellowcard Luiz Henrique 88'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 88'
  • redcard Miguel Monsalve 90'
  • redcard Miguel Monsalve 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Gustavo Nunes 21' goal
  • Gustavo Nunes 39' yellowcard
  • Felipe Carballo 78' yellowcard
  • Felipe Carballo 81' yellowcard
  • Everton Galdino 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cuiabano 10'
  • yellowcard Gregore 45'
  • goal Junior Santos 57'
  • yellowcard Damian Suarez 83'
  • yellowcard Yarlen Faustino Augusto 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2023 11.00pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Diego Costa 6' goal
  • Diego Costa 6' goal
  • Junior Santos 29' goal
  • Marlon Freitas 46' goal
  • goal Everton Galdino 9'
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 25'
  • goal Luis Suarez 50'
  • goal Luis Suarez 53'
  • goal Luis Suarez 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 74'
  • goal Carlos Alberto 88'