Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).