Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.