Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.