Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.02% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.