Brasileiro
Jan 28, 2026 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Arena MRV
  • Victor Hugo 44' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 61' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 61' yellowcard
  • Tomás Cuello 61' yellowcard
  • Khellven 74' goal
  • Alexsander 76' yellowcard
  • Reinier Jesus 85' yellowcard
  • Reinier 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 27'
  • goal José Manuel López 27'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 76'
  • yellowcard Riquelme Fillipi Marinho de Souza 83'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino 83'
  • yellowcard Agustin Giay 83'
  • yellowcard Riquelme Fillipi 83'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 83'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 83'
  • goal Vitor Roque 84'
  • yellowcard Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Luighi 85'

Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Dudu

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Ceara 1 - 3 Palmeiras
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Gustavo Gomez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 41.98% (-0.04)
Draw 27.06%
Palmeiras 30.96% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.06% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.89% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 47.35% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.65% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.4% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.57% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.45% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.55% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 32.92%
Draw 46.48%
Palmeiras 20.6%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 54.9%
No Goal 8.22%
Palmeiras 36.88%

Corners

Over 8 63.8%
Equal 8 10.69%
Under 8 25.5%
Over 9 52.38%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 36.2%
Over 10.5 41.19%
Under 10.5 58.81%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 39.48%
Under 1.5 60.52%
Over 2.5 15.62% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.38% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.11% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.89% (-0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 65.84% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.16% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.88% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 69.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.03%
Under 3.5 96.97%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 41.98%
Draw 27.05%
Palmeiras 30.96%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.91% (+0.01)
Total : 41.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 5.1%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 27.05%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 4, 2025 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ruan 31' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 9'
  • goal Allan Andrade Elias 20'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 34'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 43'
  • redcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 57'
  • yellowcard Carlos Miguel 65'
  • goal Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 20, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
  • Murilo Cerqueira 8' goal
  • Fabinho 25' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+2' goal
  • Murilo Cerqueira 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 86' goal
  • yellowcard Rubens 26'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 45'
  • goal Hulk 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 18, 2024 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Arena MRV
  • Igor Rabello 22' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 22' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 23' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 23' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' redcard
  • Hulk 31' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' redcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 36' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 36' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 73' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 73' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+7' redcard
  • Paulinho 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Anibal Moreno 25'
  • goal Anibal Moreno 25'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Rony 52'
  • yellowcard Rony 52'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 60'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 60'
  • goal Estevao Willian 61'
  • goal Estevao Willian 61'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+5'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Parque
  • Kevin 20' yellowcard
  • Rony 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Jhon Jhon 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • Endrick 90' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal 2'
  • goal Hulk 2'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 57'
  • yellowcard Matias Zaracho 70'
  • yellowcard Rubens 74'
  • goal Paulinho 76'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 10, 2023 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gabriel Menino 1' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 1' yellowcard
  • Rony 60' yellowcard
  • Rony 60' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 82' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 82' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 88' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 88' yellowcard
  • Endrick 90'+4' redcard
  • Endrick 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 77'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 77'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 89'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 89'