Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Atletico Mineiro
Jan 28, 2026 10.00pm
Arena MRV
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Ceara 1 - 3 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Palmeiras has a probability of 30.93% and a draw has a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 42.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.06% ▲ (+0.36)
Palmeiras 30.93% ▼ (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.03% ▲ (+0.96)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.1% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 27.9% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 47.31% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 52.69% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 25.36% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 3.5 74.6% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 4.5 13.43% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 4.5 86.57% ▼ (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 32.92% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 46.48% ▼ (-0.50)
Palmeiras 20.6% ▲ (+0.21)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 54.9% ▼ (-0.13)
No Goal 8.22% ▼ (-0.28)
Palmeiras 36.88% ▲ (+0.41)

Corners

Over 8 63.8% ▼ (-1.54)
Equal 8 10.69% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 8 25.5% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 9 52.38% ▼ (-1.75)
Equal 9 11.42% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 9 36.2% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 10.5 41.19% ▼ (-1.84)
Under 10.5 58.81% ▲ (+1.84)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 39.48% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 60.52% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 15.61% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 84.39% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 3.5 5.1% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 94.9% ▼ (-0.23)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 65.82% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 0.5 34.18% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 30.85% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 69.15% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 10.76% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 89.24% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 3.03% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.97% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 42%
Draw 27.06%
Palmeiras 30.93%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% ▲ (+0.26)
0-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 27.06%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.38)
1-2 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 30.93%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Atletico Mineiro
Dec 4, 2025 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Palmeiras
  • Ruan 31' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 9'
  • goal Allan Andrade Elias 20'
  • yellowcard Raphael Veiga 34'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 43'
  • redcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 57'
  • yellowcard Carlos Miguel 65'
  • goal Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
Jul 20, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Palmeiras
Sep 28, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Atletico Mineiro
  • Murilo Cerqueira 8' goal
  • Fabinho 25' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+2' goal
  • Murilo Cerqueira 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 86' goal
  • yellowcard Rubens 26'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 45'
  • goal Hulk 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Atletico Mineiro
Jun 18, 2024 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Arena MRV
Palmeiras
  • Igor Rabello 22' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 22' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 23' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 23' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' redcard
  • Hulk 31' yellowcard
  • Hulk 31' redcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 36' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 36' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 73' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 73' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+7' redcard
  • Paulinho 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Anibal Moreno 25'
  • goal Anibal Moreno 25'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Rony 52'
  • yellowcard Rony 52'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 60'
  • goal Joaquin Piquerez 60'
  • goal Estevao Willian 61'
  • goal Estevao Willian 61'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+5'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Palmeiras
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Parque
Atletico Mineiro
  • Kevin 20' yellowcard
  • Rony 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Jhon Jhon 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • Endrick 90' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal 2'
  • goal Hulk 2'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 57'
  • yellowcard Matias Zaracho 70'
  • yellowcard Rubens 74'
  • goal Paulinho 76'
Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras
Aug 10, 2023 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
Atletico Mineiro
  • Gabriel Menino 1' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 1' yellowcard
  • Rony 60' yellowcard
  • Rony 60' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 82' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 82' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 88' yellowcard
  • Murilo Cerqueira 88' yellowcard
  • Endrick 90'+4' redcard
  • Endrick 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 77'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 77'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 89'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 89'

Form Data

Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 3 Palmeiras
Fortaleza 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Flamengo
Lanus 0 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Bragantino 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Ceara 1 - 3 Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 3 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Flamengo
Gremio 3 - 2 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 0 - 0 Fluminense
Palmeiras 0 - 0 Vitoria