Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.13% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.16%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.