Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 13, 2026 12.30am
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Bragantino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Bragantino

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 10.00pm
Bragantino 1 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Juninho Capixaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw has a probability of 24.13% and a win for Bragantino has a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.16%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Bragantino win it is 0-1 (6.12%).

Result

Gremio 54.23% (-0.41)
Draw 24.13%
Bragantino 21.61% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.65% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 24.35% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 52.39% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 47.58% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 30.28% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 69.72% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 17.98% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 82.02% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Gremio 37.66%
Draw 43.9%
Bragantino 18.44%

Team To Score First

Gremio 61.38% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.66% (-0.08)
Bragantino 31.96% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.82% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 33.25% (+0.07)
Over 9 42.94% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.88% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.18% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 32.09% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 67.91% (+0.04)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 50.86% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.14% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 24.61% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 75.39% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.07% (-0.02)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5 57.52% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 42.48% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 24.89% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 75.11% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 8.29% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 91.71% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 2.4% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 97.6% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Gremio 54.22%
Draw 24.12%
Bragantino 21.61%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 10.16% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.73%
Total : 54.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 24.12%
Bragantino
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.55% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.2% (+0.18)
Total : 21.61%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 4, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Miguel Monsalve 77' yellowcard
  • Francis Amuzu 87' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel 58'
  • yellowcard Agustin Sant'Anna 68'
  • yellowcard Fabinho 83'
  • goal Isidro Pitta 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
  • Jadsom 9' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Sasha 34' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Sasha 44' goal
  • Vinicius Mendonca Pereira 63' goal
  • Guilherme Lopes 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Hurtado 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago Borbas 77' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Monsalve 29'
  • goal Jemerson 53'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 1, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Du Queiroz 19' yellowcard
  • Fabio Da Silva 23' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Nunes 50' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 62' yellowcard
  • goal Eric Ramires 3'
  • goal Luan Candido 60'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 85'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 15, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
  • Joao Pedro 20' goal
  • Joao Pedro 20' goal
  • Eduardo Sasha 28' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Sasha 28' yellowcard
  • Helinho 37' yellowcard
  • Helinho 37' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 45'+1' goal
  • Vitinho 45'+1' goal
  • Matheus Fernandes 56' yellowcard
  • Matheus Fernandes 56' yellowcard
  • Aderlan Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 37'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 37'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 48'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 48'
  • yellowcard Ferreira 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 10.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Franco Cristaldo 6' goal
  • Luis Suarez 56' goal
  • Everton Galdino 62' goal
  • goal Matheus Fernandes 9'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 53'
  • goal Thiago Borbas 90'+1'