Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.