Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.84% and a win for O'Higgins had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a O'Higgins win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.