Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Coritiba
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 61.92% (-0.11)
Draw 22.9% (+0.03)
Chapecoense 15.18% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.83% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.66% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 25.34% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 50.8% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 49.2% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 28.85% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 71.15% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 17.41% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.59% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Bahia 44.93%
Draw 38.6%
Chapecoense 16.47%

Team To Score First

Bahia 63.32% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.12% (-0.09)
Chapecoense 29.56% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 66.19% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.07% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.73% (+0.02)
Over 9 55.23%
Equal 9 10.96% (-0.01)
Under 9 33.8%
Over 10.5 44.26% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.74% (-0.01)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 55.4% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 44.6% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 27.57% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 72.43% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 11.18% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.82% (-0.04)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 50.85% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 49.15% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 18.38% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 81.62% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 5.08% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.92% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.2% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bahia 61.93%
Draw 22.9%
Chapecoense 15.18%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 11.34% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 10.89% (+0.22)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.98% (+0.02)
Total : 61.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 22.9%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 1% (+0.02)
Total : 15.18%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gilberto 2' goal
  • Rai Nascimento de Oliveira 20' goal
  • Rai Nascimento 20' goal
  • Rai Nascimento de Oliveira 46' yellowcard
  • Rai Nascimento 46' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 52' goal
  • Luiz Otavio 52' goal
  • yellowcard Kaio 50'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jul 4, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ezequiel 53' yellowcard
  • Derlan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thonny Anderson 28'
  • goal Gilberto 66'
  • goal Rodrigoinho 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 7, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Marco Antonio 85' goal
  • Arthur 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas 9'
  • goal Henrique Almeida 14'
  • yellowcard Roberto 81'
  • yellowcard Renato Silva 92'
Brasileiro
Jul 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcio Araujo 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 4, 2018 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Fonseca 12' yellowcard
  • Jose Elber 67' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 19, 2018 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Luiz Otavio 61' yellowcard
  • Osman 85' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago 37'
  • yellowcard Flavio 72'
  • goal Gilberto 79'