Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00pm
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Coritiba
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw has a probability of 22.91% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (5.1%).

Result

Bahia 61.96% (+0.07)
Draw 22.91% (-0.04)
Chapecoense 15.1% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.41% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.3% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.7% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.32% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.68% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.92% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 72.08% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 16.72% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 83.28% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Bahia 44.93%
Draw 38.6%
Chapecoense 16.47%

Team To Score First

Bahia 63.33% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.22%
Chapecoense 29.45% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.04% (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.08% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.87% (+0.16)
Over 9 55.08% (-0.15)
Equal 9 10.96% (-0.02)
Under 9 33.96% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 44.12% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 55.88% (+0.11)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 54.97% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 45.03% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 27.19%
Under 2.5 72.81%
Over 3.5 10.89% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.11% (+0.04)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 50.41% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 49.59% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 18.01%
Under 1.5 81.99%
Over 2.5 4.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.16% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.09%
Under 3.5 98.91%

Score analysis

Bahia 61.96%
Draw 22.9%
Chapecoense 15.1%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.48% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.87% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.79% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.72% (-0.04)
Total : 61.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 22.9%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 4.15% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.92% (-0.02)
Total : 15.1%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gilberto 2' goal
  • Rai Nascimento de Oliveira 20' goal
  • Rai Nascimento 20' goal
  • Rai Nascimento de Oliveira 46' yellowcard
  • Rai Nascimento 46' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 52' goal
  • Luiz Otavio 52' goal
  • yellowcard Kaio 50'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jul 4, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ezequiel 53' yellowcard
  • Derlan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thonny Anderson 28'
  • goal Gilberto 66'
  • goal Rodrigoinho 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 7, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Marco Antonio 85' goal
  • Arthur 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas 9'
  • goal Henrique Almeida 14'
  • yellowcard Roberto 81'
  • yellowcard Renato Silva 92'
Brasileiro
Jul 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcio Araujo 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 4, 2018 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Fonseca 12' yellowcard
  • Jose Elber 67' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 19, 2018 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Luiz Otavio 61' yellowcard
  • Osman 85' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago 37'
  • yellowcard Flavio 72'
  • goal Gilberto 79'