Brasileiro Gameweek 18
May 30, 2026 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • 44' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 57' goal
  • David Duarte 90'+2' goal
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Xavier 90'+7' yellowcard
  • David Duarte 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Huguinho 7'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 21'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 37'
  • yellowcard 43'
  • redcard Neto 45'+2'
  • yellowcard 45'+10'
  • yellowcard Huguinho 84'

Bahia vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
May 26, 2026 12.00am
Coritiba 3 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 9.00pm
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 46.48% (-0.25)
Draw 24.6%
Botafogo 28.91% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.06% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.45% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 21.55% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 55.5% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44.5% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.2% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.84% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.16% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Bahia 39.29% (+0.01)
Draw 39.97% (+0.04)
Botafogo 20.74% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Bahia 59.58% (-0.46)
No Goal 5.5% (+0.01)
Botafogo 34.92% (+0.45)

Corners

Over 8 61.36%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 27.16% (-0.02)
Over 9 49.31%
Equal 9 12.06% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.64%
Over 10.5 37.75% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 62.25% (+0.01)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 47.19% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 52.81% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 21.48% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 78.52% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 8.05% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.95% (+0.07)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 65.82% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 34.18% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 33.13% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.87% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 12.45% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 87.55% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Bahia 46.48%
Draw 24.6%
Botafogo 28.9%
Bahia
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.89% (-0.07)
Total : 46.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
Botafogo
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.6% (+0.07)
Total : 28.9%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 2, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Caio Alexandre 9' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 9' yellowcard
  • Erick 31' yellowcard
  • Erick 31' yellowcard
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 39' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 39' goal
  • Ademir 86' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 86' yellowcard
  • Ademir 86' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Newton Araujo da Costa Junior 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Newton Araujo da Costa Junior 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 83'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 83'
  • yellowcard John 90'+9'
  • yellowcard John 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Jean Lucas 25' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 36' yellowcard
  • Marcos Felipe 41' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 32'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Halter 54'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 84'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 7, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Rafael Ratao 18' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 80' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 87' goal
  • Luciano Rodriguez 88' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rafael Ratao 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 17'
  • redcard Gregore 45'+3'
  • goal <TBD> 57'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 77'
  • yellowcard Bastos 90'+4'
Copa do Brasil
Jul 31, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Carlos Alberto 8' goal
  • Carlos Alberto 8' goal
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 45'+1'
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 69'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • 8' goal
  • Jeffinho 63' goal
  • Bastos 81' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 91'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanu 36'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rezende 76'
  • goal Rafael Ratao 86'