Brasileiro Gameweek 18
May 30, 2026 9.30pm
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
May 26, 2026 12.00am
Coritiba 3 - 2 Bahia
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 9.00pm
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Botafogo has a probability of 28.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Botafogo win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

Bahia 46.73% (+0.36)
Draw 24.6% (-0.26)
Botafogo 28.67% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07% (+1.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.54% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 21.46% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 55.57% (+1.33)
Under 2.5 44.43% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 32.76% (+1.14)
Under 3.5 67.24% (-1.15)
Over 4.5 18.82% (+0.92)
Under 4.5 81.18% (-0.91)

First Half Winner

Bahia 39.28% (+0.13)
Draw 39.94% (+0.44)
Botafogo 20.78% (-0.58)

Team To Score First

Bahia 60.03% (+0.75)
No Goal 5.49% (-0.27)
Botafogo 34.48% (-0.48)

Corners

Over 8 61.36% (+1.18)
Equal 8 11.47% (-0.11)
Under 8 27.17% (-1.07)
Over 9 49.31% (+1.20)
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 38.64% (-1.18)
Over 10.5 37.76% (+1.08)
Under 10.5 62.24% (-1.08)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 47.41% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 52.59% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 21.69% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 78.31% (-0.80)
Over 3.5 8.11% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 91.89% (-0.43)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 34.32% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 32.95% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 67.05% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 12.33% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 87.67% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 3.7% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 96.3% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Bahia 46.74%
Draw 24.6%
Botafogo 28.67%
Bahia
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.97% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.13)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.42)
Total : 46.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 6.02% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
Botafogo
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.54% (+0.21)
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 2, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Caio Alexandre 9' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 9' yellowcard
  • Erick 31' yellowcard
  • Erick 31' yellowcard
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 39' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 39' goal
  • Ademir 86' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 86' yellowcard
  • Ademir 86' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Newton Araujo da Costa Junior 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Newton Araujo da Costa Junior 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 83'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 83'
  • yellowcard John 90'+9'
  • yellowcard John 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Aug 25, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Jean Lucas 25' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 36' yellowcard
  • Marcos Felipe 41' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 32'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Halter 54'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 84'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 7, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Rafael Ratao 18' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 80' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 87' goal
  • Luciano Rodriguez 88' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rafael Ratao 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 17'
  • redcard Gregore 45'+3'
  • goal <TBD> 57'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 77'
  • yellowcard Bastos 90'+4'
Copa do Brasil
Jul 31, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Carlos Alberto 8' goal
  • Carlos Alberto 8' goal
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 45'+1'
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 69'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • 8' goal
  • Jeffinho 63' goal
  • Bastos 81' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 91'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanu 36'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rezende 76'
  • goal Rafael Ratao 86'