Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 23, 2026 9.00pm
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Luciano

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 3 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Botafogo has a probability of 26.24% and a draw has a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Botafogo win is 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result

Sao Paulo 47.75% (-5.03)
Draw 26.04% (+0.51)
Botafogo 26.24% (+4.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.95% (+1.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.83% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 26.17% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 49.13% (+1.41)
Under 2.5 50.87% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 27.1% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 72.9% (-1.59)
Over 4.5 14.74% (+0.89)
Under 4.5 85.26% (-0.88)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 35.27% (-2.67)
Draw 41.56% (-0.90)
Botafogo 23.17% (+3.57)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 51.86% (-7.35)
No Goal 7.25% (-0.22)
Botafogo 40.89% (+7.57)

Corners

Over 8 66.66% (-0.61)
Equal 8 10.81% (+0.12)
Under 8 22.53% (+0.50)
Over 9 54.76% (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.07)
Under 9 33.34% (+0.62)
Over 10.5 42.85% (-0.69)
Under 10.5 57.15% (+0.69)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 44.67% (-2.74)
Under 1.5 55.33% (+2.74)
Over 2.5 19.3% (-1.76)
Under 2.5 80.7% (+1.77)
Over 3.5 6.77% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 93.23% (+0.71)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 62.15% (+4.36)
Under 0.5 37.85% (-4.36)
Over 1.5 27.7% (+4.72)
Under 1.5 72.3% (-4.72)
Over 2.5 9.27% (+2.69)
Under 2.5 90.73% (-2.69)
Over 3.5 2.42% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 97.58% (-0.88)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 47.74%
Draw 26.03%
Botafogo 26.24%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.41% (-1.11)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.61)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-1.35)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.41)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.88)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 6.66% (-0.75)
Total : 47.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.23% (+0.45)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.04)
Total : 26.03%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 7.52% (+0.57)
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.83)
0-2 @ 3.93% (+0.71)
1-3 @ 2.44% (+0.67)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.53)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.31% (+0.83)
Total : 26.24%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 14, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Jefferson Savarino 24' goal
  • Igor Jesus 84' goal
  • goal Ferreira 21'
  • yellowcard Matheus Alves Nascimento 53'
  • goal Andre Silva 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Ferreira 66'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Jefferson Savarino 37' goal
  • Gregore 90'+2' goal
  • goal William Gomes Carvalho Santos 63'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 26, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Damian Bobadilla 53' yellowcard
  • Damian Bobadilla 53' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 79' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 87' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 87' goal
  • Rafinha 90'+2' redcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' redcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 15'
  • goal Thiago Almada 15'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard John 49'
  • yellowcard John 49'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 90'+2'
  • redcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 90'+2'
Copa Libertadores
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Luiz Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Bastos 72' yellowcard
  • Bastos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafinha 82'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 82'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'