Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
May 23, 2026 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Botafogo
  • Luciano 4' goal
  • Pedro Ferreira 30' yellowcard
  • Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira 44' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 75' yellowcard
  • Djhordney 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kadir Barría 46'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Barrera 65'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Correa 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Ramos  87'
  • goal Jordan Barrera 90'
  • goal Jordan Barrera 90'+1'

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 11.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Luciano

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 3 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 47.75%
Draw 26.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Botafogo 26.28% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 49.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 50.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 27.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.21% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 35.27%
Draw 41.56%
Botafogo 23.17%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 51.86%
No Goal 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Botafogo 40.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.66%
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 22.53%
Over 9 54.76%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 33.34%
Over 10.5 42.85%
Under 10.5 57.15%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 44.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 27.78% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 72.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 47.75%
Draw 26.04%
Botafogo 26.28%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 47.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.04%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.28%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sao Paulo
Sep 14, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Botafogo
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Botafogo
Apr 16, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Sao Paulo
  • Jefferson Savarino 24' goal
  • Igor Jesus 84' goal
  • goal Ferreira 21'
  • yellowcard Matheus Alves Nascimento 53'
  • goal Andre Silva 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Ferreira 66'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Botafogo
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Sao Paulo
  • Jefferson Savarino 37' goal
  • Gregore 90'+2' goal
  • goal William Gomes Carvalho Santos 63'
Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo
Sep 26, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Botafogo
  • Damian Bobadilla 53' yellowcard
  • Damian Bobadilla 53' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 79' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 87' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 87' goal
  • Rafinha 90'+2' redcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' redcard
  • Rafinha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 15'
  • goal Thiago Almada 15'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'+2'
  • yellowcard John 49'
  • yellowcard John 49'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 90'+2'
  • redcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 90'+2'
Copa Libertadores
Botafogo
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Sao Paulo
  • Luiz Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 30' yellowcard
  • Bastos 72' yellowcard
  • Bastos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafinha 82'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 82'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Botafogo
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Lucas Moura 6' goal
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 24' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 51' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Ferreira 60' goal
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 63' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • Luciano 76' yellowcard
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Tiquinho 11'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • goal Cuiabano 22'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Gregore 39'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 59'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Artur Jorge 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 63'

Form Data

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Millonarios
Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Juventude 3 - 1 Sao Paulo
Corinthians 3 - 2 Sao Paulo
O'Higgins 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia
Independiente Petrolero 0 - 3 Botafogo
Botafogo 3 - 1 Corinthians
Chapecoense 2 - 0 Botafogo
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Botafogo
Botafogo 2 - 1 Racing
Botafogo 1 - 2 Remo