Brasileiro
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Arthur Cabral 7' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 32' goal
  • Kauan Toledo 46' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 66' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 70' goal
  • Edenilson 73' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 74' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodríguez 80' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Justino 80' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Garro 11'
  • yellowcard Kaio César 46'
  • yellowcard André Luiz Santos Dias 63'
  • yellowcard Allan 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 77'
  • yellowcard Dieguinho 77'

Botafogo vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Danilo

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
Corinthians 3 - 2 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Breno Bidon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.47% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%) , while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Botafogo 46.28% (+0.46)
Draw 27.47% (+0.27)
Corinthians 26.24% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.75% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.08% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 42.44% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 57.56% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 21.45% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.55% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.02% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.98% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 36.9% (+1.40)
Draw 44.19% (-1.72)
Corinthians 18.91% (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 55.63% (+0.38)
No Goal 9.2% (-0.02)
Corinthians 35.17% (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 59.12% (+5.40)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.18)
Under 8 28.97% (-5.24)
Over 9 46.84% (+5.06)
Equal 9 12.29% (+0.36)
Under 9 40.88% (-5.40)
Over 10.5 35.29% (+4.29)
Under 10.5 64.71% (-4.30)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 39.97% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 60.03% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 15.58% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 84.42% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 4.94% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.06% (-0.10)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 60.06% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 39.94% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 24.64% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 75.36% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 7.37% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 92.63% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 1.74% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.26% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Botafogo 46.28%
Draw 27.48%
Corinthians 26.26%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.98% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.98% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.92% (+0.09)
Total : 46.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 27.48%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.16)
Other @ 1.72% (-0.10)
Total : 26.26%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 30, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raniele 7' goal
  • Raniele 56' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Henrique 82' goal
  • Matheuzinho 90' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Maycon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 33'
  • yellowcard Newton Araujo da Costa Junior 41'
  • goal Cuiabano 60'
  • goal Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 66'
  • yellowcard Allan 85'
  • redcard Jeffinho 90'+3'
  • redcard Jeffinho 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 26, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Luiz Henrique 39' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 39' goal
  • Marlon Freitas 61' yellowcard
  • Marlon Freitas 61' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 67' goal
  • Thiago Almada 67' goal
  • redcard Ramon Diaz 62'
  • redcard Ramon Diaz 62'
  • goal Rodrigo Garro 63'
  • goal Rodrigo Garro 63'
  • yellowcard Matheus Bidu 90'
  • yellowcard Matheus Bidu 90'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Wesley Gassova 35' yellowcard
  • Wesley Gassova 35' yellowcard
  • Felix Torres 40' yellowcard
  • Felix Torres 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luiz Henrique 30'
  • yellowcard Luiz Henrique 30'
  • goal Junior Santos 60'
  • goal Junior Santos 60'
  • yellowcard Oscar Romero 65'
  • yellowcard Oscar Romero 65'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Oscar Romero 72'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 79'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 79'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 80'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 23, 2023 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Gabriel Moscardo 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Moscardo 42' yellowcard
  • Gil 59' goal
  • Gil 59' goal
  • Gil 87' yellowcard
  • Gil 87' yellowcard
  • Fagner 88' yellowcard
  • Fagner 88' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 90'+7' yellowcard
  • redcard Fernando Marcal 23'
  • redcard Fernando Marcal 23'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Marlon Freitas 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Adryelson 71'
  • yellowcard Adryelson 71'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 73'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 73'
  • yellowcard Diego Costa 87'
  • yellowcard Diego Costa 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Tiquinho 12' goal
  • Tiquinho 65' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 81' goal