Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Racing 2 - 3 Botafogo

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Caracas 1 - 0 Independiente Petrolero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw has a probability of 18.88% and a win for Independiente Petrolero has a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.33%) , while for a Independiente Petrolero win it is 0-1 (4.31%).

Result

Botafogo 69.99% (-1.15)
Draw 18.88% (+0.59)
Independiente Petrolero 11.12% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.62% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 23.38% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 54.69% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.31% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.51% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 66.49% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 23.64% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 76.36% (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 51.74% (-0.47)
Draw 36.27% (+0.03)
Independiente Petrolero 11.99% (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 72.27% (-1.61)
No Goal 6.6% (+0.09)
Independiente Petrolero 21.13% (+1.52)

Corners

Over 8 59.25% (+1.75)
Equal 8 11.95% (-0.12)
Under 8 28.8% (-1.65)
Over 9 46.93% (+1.69)
Equal 9 12.32% (+0.08)
Under 9 40.75% (-1.75)
Over 10.5 35.37% (+1.47)
Under 10.5 64.63% (-1.47)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 62.2% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 37.8% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 37.03% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 62.97% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 19.2% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 80.8% (+0.62)

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5 41.08% (+1.23)
Under 0.5 58.92% (-1.23)
Over 1.5 13.31% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 86.69% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 2.9% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 97.1% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 0.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 99.41% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Botafogo 69.98%
Draw 18.88%
Independiente Petrolero 11.13%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 12.04% (-0.39)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 8.66% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 6% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.13)
Other @ 19.15% (-0.61)
Total : 69.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33% (+0.33)
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.27% (+0.23)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 18.88%
Independiente Petrolero
0-1 @ 4.31% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 3.04% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.56% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.54% (+0.08)
Total : 11.13%