Copa Sudamericana
Mar 3, 2026 10.00pm
Estadio Olímpico Patria

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

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Guabira

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Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Petrolero win with a probability of 59.1%. A win for Guabira has a probability of 21.91% and a draw has a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Petrolero win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.17%) and 1-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Guabira win is 1-2 (5.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.36%).

Result

Independiente Petrolero 59.1% (-0.04)
Draw 18.99%
Guabira 21.91% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.93% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.26% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 12.74% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 71.66% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 28.34% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 51.95% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 48.05% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 37.65% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 62.35% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 48.8% (+0.03)
Draw 31.68% (-0.06)
Guabira 19.52% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 65.1% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.24%
Guabira 31.66% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.9% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.25% (-0.09)
Under 8 31.85% (+0.27)
Over 9 47.42% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.49% (-0.09)
Under 9 42.1% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 37.48%
Under 10.5 62.52%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 64.39%
Under 1.5 35.61%
Over 2.5 41.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 58.66% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.42% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.58% (-0.04)

Guabira Goals

Over 0.5 56.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.08% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.94% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.06% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 59.1%
Draw 19%
Guabira 21.9%
Independiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.69% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 23.9% (+0.02)
Total : 59.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.52% (+0.02)
Total : 19%
Guabira
1-2 @ 5.21% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.42% (-0.05)
Total : 21.9%