Copa Sudamericana
Mar 3, 2026 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Patria
  • Diego Navarro 53' yellowcard
  • Thomaz 54' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Cristaldo 74' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cristaldo 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafinha 58'
  • yellowcard Roler Ferrufino 70'
  • yellowcard Sergio Gil 70'
  • yellowcard David Robles 90'+4'

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

All competitions

Guabira

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Petrolero win with a probability of 60.38%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 20.85% and a draw had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Petrolero win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Guabira win was 1-2 (5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Petrolero 60.38% (+1.29)
Draw 18.78% (-0.21)
Guabira 20.85% (-1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.68% (-2.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.42% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 12.58% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 71.79% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 28.21% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 51.72% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 48.28% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 37.49% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 62.51% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Independiente Petrolero 47.41% (-1.40)
Draw 32.42% (+0.75)
Guabira 20.17% (+0.66)

Team To Score First

Independiente Petrolero 65.67% (+0.58)
No Goal 3.06% (-0.19)
Guabira 31.27% (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 54.36% (-3.54)
Equal 8 10.62% (+0.37)
Under 8 35.02% (+3.18)
Over 9 43.78% (-3.65)
Equal 9 10.58% (+0.09)
Under 9 45.64% (+3.54)
Over 10.5 34.03% (-3.45)
Under 10.5 65.97% (+3.45)

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 1.5 65.3% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 34.7% (-0.91)
Over 2.5 42.38% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 57.62% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 24.6% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 75.4% (-0.18)

Guabira Goals

Over 0.5 55.74% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 44.26% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 29.85% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 70.15% (+0.92)
Over 2.5 12.79% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 87.21% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 60.39%
Draw 18.78%
Guabira 20.84%
Independiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.31% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 6.06% (+0.27)
1-0 @ 5.98% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 5.22% (+0.53)
3-2 @ 4.2% (+0.11)
Other @ 23.95% (+0.06)
Total : 60.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 2.05% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.65% (+0.13)
Total : 18.78%
Guabira
1-2 @ 5% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.11% (-0.31)
Total : 20.84%