Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Petrolero win with a probability of 60.38%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 20.85% and a draw had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Petrolero win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Guabira win was 1-2 (5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.