Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.91% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.