Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.64% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.