Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%) , while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.