Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jul 23, 2026 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Mateo Ponte 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martínez 34'

Botafogo vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
Botafogo 2 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danilo

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.22% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Botafogo 59.85% (-0.02)
Draw 24.22% (+0.05)
Vitoria 15.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.88% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.08% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.26% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 51.74% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 26.45% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 73.52% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.73% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.27% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 42.69% (-0.02)
Draw 41.92%
Vitoria 15.39% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 64.4% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.01% (+0.02)
Vitoria 27.59% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.62% (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.88% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.5% (+0.06)
Over 9 51.09% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.53% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.38% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 39.9% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 60.1% (+0.03)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 52.74% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 47.26% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 25.45% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 74.55% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 10.39% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.61% (+0.04)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 50.46% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 49.54% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 81.95% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 95.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Botafogo 59.86%
Draw 24.23%
Vitoria 15.93%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.45% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 10.43%
3-0 @ 6.41% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.28% (-0.03)
Total : 59.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.01% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 24.23%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.92% (-0.02)
Total : 15.93%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Gregore 36' yellowcard
  • Mateo Ponte 68' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 80' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 87' goal
  • Cuiabano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Alerrandro 20'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 63'
  • yellowcard Patric 82'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Muriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Muriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Janderson 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Janderson 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 37'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 37'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 62'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 62'
  • yellowcard Gregore 77'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 77'
  • yellowcard Diego Hernandez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Diego Hernandez 90'+7'
Copa do Brasil
May 22, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Thiago Carpini 0' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Junior 78' goal
  • Daniel Junior 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Henrique 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Halter 51'
  • yellowcard John 53'
  • goal Junior Santos 63'
  • yellowcard Cuiabano 65'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 77'
  • yellowcard Hugo 82'
Copa do Brasil
May 2, 2024 11.00pm