Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 10.30pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Danilo

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 12.30am
Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw has a probability of 24.67% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (6.39%).

Result

Botafogo 56.17% (-0.13)
Draw 24.67% (+0.21)
Vitoria 19.16% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.82% (-0.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.36% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 28.64% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 46.53% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 53.47% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 24.55% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 75.45% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 13.9% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 86.1% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 41.16%
Draw 40.71%
Vitoria 18.14%

Team To Score First

Botafogo 59.72% (-0.19)
No Goal 8.2% (+0.30)
Vitoria 32.08% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.3% (-0.55)
Equal 8 11.49% (-0.28)
Under 8 33.22% (+0.83)
Over 9 43.82% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.34)
Under 9 44.7% (+0.55)
Over 10.5 33.27% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 66.73% (-0.11)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 48.58% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 51.42% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 22.18% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 77.82% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 8.23% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 91.77% (+0.22)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 53.28% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 46.72% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 20.24% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 79.76% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 5.5% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 94.5% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.27% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.73% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Botafogo 56.17%
Draw 24.67%
Vitoria 19.16%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 14.05% (+0.30)
2-0 @ 10.54% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.23% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.12% (-0.23)
Total : 56.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.67%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 6.39% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Gregore 36' yellowcard
  • Mateo Ponte 68' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 80' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 87' goal
  • Cuiabano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Alerrandro 20'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 63'
  • yellowcard Patric 82'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Muriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Muriel 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Janderson 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Janderson 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 37'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 37'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 62'
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 62'
  • yellowcard Gregore 77'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 77'
  • yellowcard Diego Hernandez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Diego Hernandez 90'+7'
Copa do Brasil
May 22, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Thiago Carpini 0' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Junior 78' goal
  • Daniel Junior 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luiz Henrique 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Halter 51'
  • yellowcard John 53'
  • goal Junior Santos 63'
  • yellowcard Cuiabano 65'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 77'
  • yellowcard Hugo 82'
Copa do Brasil
May 2, 2024 11.00pm