Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.83% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.