Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 10.30pm
Athletico PR 3 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
Gremio 1 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw has a probability of 27.47% and a win for Coritiba has a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Coritiba win it is 0-1 (8.45%).

Result

Vitoria 49.74% (+0.04)
Draw 27.47% (-0.04)
Coritiba 22.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.59% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 32.41% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 40.98% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 59.02% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 19.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 80.37% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 90% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 37.3%
Draw 44.12%
Coritiba 18.58%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 57.28% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.59% (-0.05)
Coritiba 33.13% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.39%
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 24.72%
Over 9 52.67%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 35.61%
Over 10.5 41.15%
Under 10.5 58.85%

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 41.05% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.95% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.5% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.5% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.22% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.78% (-0.02)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 56.49% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 43.51% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 20.96% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.04% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.48% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.52% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.16% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.84% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Vitoria 49.73%
Draw 27.48%
Coritiba 22.8%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.21% (+0.02)
Total : 49.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.48%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Total : 22.8%