Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.46% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.56%).