Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Joaquin Lavega

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
Vasco 2 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 28.9% and a draw has a probability of 27.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.04%).

Result

Coritiba 43.2% (+0.05)
Draw 27.91%
Vasco da Gama 28.9% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.35% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.38% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 30.62% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 43.52% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 56.48% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 22.66% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.34% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 11.79% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 88.21% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 32.91%
Draw 44.86%
Vasco da Gama 22.23%

Team To Score First

Coritiba 55.67% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.23% (+0.02)
Vasco da Gama 35.1% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.58%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 31.28%
Over 9 44.31%
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 43.42%
Over 10.5 32.99% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.01% (-0.01)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 38.17% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.83% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.89% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.11% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 62.29% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.71% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.42% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.1% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.9% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.53% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Coritiba 43.18%
Draw 27.91%
Vasco da Gama 28.9%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 12.3% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.69% (-0.01)
Total : 43.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.23% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.91%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46% (-0.03)
Total : 28.9%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 21, 2023 11.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Ze Gabriel 8' goal
  • Rossi 34' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 50' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 63' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 79' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 81' goal
  • yellowcard Andreas Samaris 3'
  • yellowcard Willian Farias 73'
  • goal Sebastian Gomez 80'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
  • Ze Roberto 45'+4' goal
  • goal Erick Marcus 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Jan 17, 2021 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Matos 24' yellowcard
  • Henrique 30' redcard
  • Bruno Gomes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan 33'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 42'
  • goal Hugo Moura 44'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Sep 20, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Martin Sarrafiore 41' yellowcard
  • Robson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ygor Catatau 34'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 86'
Brasileiro
Jul 2, 2017 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira (Curitiba, Paraná)