Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 26.07% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Gremio win is 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).