Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Mar 22, 2026 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cuiabano 7' goal
  • David 34' goal
  • Marino Hinestroza 58' yellowcard
  • José Luis Rodríguez 58' yellowcard
  • Matheus França 68' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piton 82' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Vinícius 38'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 46'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 46'
  • yellowcard Willian 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Mec 64'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 75'

Vasco da Gama vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 3 - 2 Fluminense
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2026 10.00pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.75% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 48.79% (-0.04)
Draw 25.75%
Gremio 25.47% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.46% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.55% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.36% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.64% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.09%
Under 3.5 70.87% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.3%
Under 4.5 83.7%

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 31.42%
Draw 44.76%
Gremio 23.82%

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 52.16% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.01)
Gremio 41.01%

Corners

Over 8 59.69% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 29.05% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.05% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 40.31% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 37% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63% (+0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 46.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.12% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.47% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.9% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.1% (+0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 62.12% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 37.88% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.15% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.85% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.65% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.35% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 48.78%
Draw 25.75%
Gremio 25.47%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 7.7% (-0.01)
Total : 48.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.75%
Gremio
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.58% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.45% (+0.02)
Total : 25.47%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 20, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 19, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Cristian Pavon 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 57' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 68' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 35'
  • yellowcard David 69'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Rossi 17' yellowcard
  • David 24' goal
  • Matheus Carvalho 37' goal
  • Ramon Diaz 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Juan Sforza 65' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piton 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Martins 68'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Rodrigo Ely 35' goal
  • Luis Suarez 46' goal
  • Gustavo Martins 48' yellowcard
  • Bruno Alves 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Nathan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Bruno Praxedes 47' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 80' goal
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 45'