Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.