Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Vitoria
Mar 14, 2026 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
Atletico Mineiro
  • Erick 16' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 20' goal
  • Edenilson 46' yellowcard
  • Renzo López 67' yellowcard
  • Anderson Pato 67' yellowcard
  • Erick 68' goal
  • Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 46'
  • yellowcard Dudu 58'
  • yellowcard Hulk 58'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 73'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 74'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 84'
  • yellowcard 84'

Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 11.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 10.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Internacional
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.56% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 45.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Atletico Mineiro 27.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.36% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.17% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 30.83% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 43.42% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 56.58% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 22.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 77.69% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 11.61% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 88.39% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 33.1%
Draw 46%
Atletico Mineiro 20.9%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 54.58% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 9.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Atletico Mineiro 36.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 36.57% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 9 40.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 47.98% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 10.5 30.91% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.09% ▲ (+0.10)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 39.43% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 60.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 15.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.23% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 61.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria 45.09%
Draw 27.56%
Atletico Mineiro 27.32%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.55% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 45.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.56%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.32%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Vitoria
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Atletico Mineiro
Apr 14, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Vitoria
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Atletico Mineiro
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
Vitoria
  • Fausto Vera 8' goal
  • Bruno Fuchs 26' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 45' goal
  • Everson 81' redcard
  • goal Wagner Leonardo 64'
  • goal Alerrandro 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Vitoria
Jun 20, 2024 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
Atletico Mineiro
  • Matheuzinho 8' goal
  • Caio Vinicius 35' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 44' goal
  • Luan 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 66' goal
  • Erick Castillo 76' goal
  • goal Gustavo Scarpa 14'
  • yellowcard Romulo Helberth Pereira Junior 37'
  • goal Brahian Palacios 88'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Vitoria
Aug 26, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas (Salvador, Bahia)
Atletico Mineiro
  • Leo Ceara 41' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 69' goal
  • Jeferson 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 24'
  • yellowcard Iago Maidana 31'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chara 72'
Brasileiro
Atletico Mineiro
Apr 22, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Vitoria
  • Ricardo Oliveira 20' goal
  • Ricardo Oliveira 30' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Blanco 71' yellowcard
  • Roger Guedes 73' goal
  • yellowcard Ramon 57'
  • yellowcard Uillian 64'
  • yellowcard Caique 83'
  • yellowcard Kanu 83'
  • goal Gabriel 88' (OG)

Form Data

Bahia 1 - 1 Vitoria
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo
Palmeiras 5 - 1 Vitoria
Vitoria 2 - 0 Remo
Vitoria 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Internacional
Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 3 Remo
Bragantino 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 2 Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro 5 - 0 Vasco