Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Mar 14, 2026 9.30pm
Estádio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 27.62% and a draw has a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

Vitoria 44.98% (-0.11)
Draw 27.43% (+0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 27.62% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.81% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.19% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 44.25% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 55.75% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.14%
Under 3.5 76.86%
Over 4.5 12.21% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.79% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 33.1%
Draw 46%
Atletico Mineiro 20.9%

Team To Score First

Vitoria 54.71%
No Goal 8.99% (+0.01)
Atletico Mineiro 36.3% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.02% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 36.57% (+0.03)
Over 9 40.9% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 47.98% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 30.91% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.09% (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 39.82% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.18% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.12% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.34% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.66% (+0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 61.66% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 38.34% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 26.47% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 73.53% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.41% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.59% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.78% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Vitoria 45%
Draw 27.43%
Atletico Mineiro 27.62%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.3% (-0.04)
Total : 45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 27.43%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 8.93% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.56% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Total : 27.62%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Arana 43' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Fausto Vera 57' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Joao Marcelo Soares de Freitas 87' goal
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Bernard 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 28'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • goal Lucas Halter 47'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 54'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
  • yellowcard Janderson 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Fausto Vera 8' goal
  • Bruno Fuchs 26' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 45' goal
  • Everson 81' redcard
  • goal Wagner Leonardo 64'
  • goal Alerrandro 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Matheuzinho 8' goal
  • Caio Vinicius 35' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 44' goal
  • Luan 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Willian Oliveira 66' goal
  • Erick Castillo 76' goal
  • goal Gustavo Scarpa 14'
  • yellowcard Romulo Helberth Pereira Junior 37'
  • goal Brahian Palacios 88'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 26, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Leo Ceara 41' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 69' goal
  • Jeferson 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Welison 24'
  • yellowcard Iago Maidana 31'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chara 72'
Brasileiro
Apr 22, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ricardo Oliveira 20' goal
  • Ricardo Oliveira 30' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Blanco 71' yellowcard
  • Roger Guedes 73' goal
  • yellowcard Ramon 57'
  • yellowcard Uillian 64'
  • yellowcard Caique 83'
  • yellowcard Kanu 83'
  • goal Gabriel 88' (OG)