Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.57% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.