Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 11, 2026 11.00pm
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Bahia 0 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw has a probability of 19.61% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 11.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.1%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (4.47%).

Result

Bahia 68.6% (-0.11)
Draw 19.61% (+0.04)
Vitoria 11.82% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.56% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.86% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.14% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.61% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.08% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.92% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.55% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.45% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bahia 49.96% (-0.20)
Draw 35.29% (+0.08)
Vitoria 14.74% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Bahia 70.18% (-0.12)
No Goal 6.51% (+0.01)
Vitoria 23.31% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 57.64% (+0.96)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.16)
Under 8 30.87% (-0.81)
Over 9 45.96% (+1.03)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.07)
Under 9 42.36% (-0.96)
Over 10.5 35.04% (+1.00)
Under 10.5 64.96% (-1.00)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 60.19% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 39.81% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 33.35% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 66.65% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 15.22% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 84.78% (+0.07)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 43.65% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 56.35% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 13.77% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 86.23% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 3.15% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.85% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.4% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bahia 68.6%
Draw 19.61%
Vitoria 11.82%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.78% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 15.17% (-0.07)
Total : 68.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.1%
0-0 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 19.61%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 4.47% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.55% (+0.02)
Total : 11.82%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 17, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Jean Lucas 5' redcard
  • Erick da Costa Farias 23' goal
  • Gilberto 53' yellowcard
  • Erick da Costa Farias 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 66' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald 12'
  • yellowcard Claudinho 40'
  • yellowcard Erick 41'
  • goal Renato Kayzer 54'
  • yellowcard Osvaldo 63'
  • redcard Pepe 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everton Ribeiro 15' goal
  • Alerrandro 49' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 81' yellowcard
  • Yago 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Luciano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Kanu 49'
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 53'
  • redcard Thiago Carpini 54'
  • yellowcard Pablo Santos de Alcantara 82'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 20' goal
  • Leo Naldi 23' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 42' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 57' goal
  • Zeca 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 48'
  • yellowcard Victor Cuesta 51'
  • goal Gabriel Teixeira 69'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 72'
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Leo Ceara 2' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 8' goal
  • Leo Ceara 68' goal
  • Bruno 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Benitez 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 17'
  • goal Nilton 39'
  • yellowcard Junior Brumado 67'
  • goal Ramires 72'
  • yellowcard Nilton 84'
  • yellowcard Douglas Grolli 96'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 22, 2018 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Ze Rafael 2' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 16' goal
  • Vinicius 27' goal
  • Tiago 66' goal
  • Gilberto 67' goal
  • Lucas Fonseca 70' yellowcard
  • Tiago 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeferson 2'
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 15'
  • yellowcard Arouca 47'
  • yellowcard Bryan 65'
  • goal Lucas 73'
  • yellowcard Luan 74'
  • redcard Bryan 75'