Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 11, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Willian José 5' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 45'+6' goal
  • M. Sanabria 61' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Ademir 74' yellowcard
  • Michel Araújo 74' yellowcard
  • David Martins Almeida de Lira 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 46'
  • goal Ramon 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Erick 61'
  • yellowcard Camutanga 71'
  • yellowcard Aitor Cantalapiedra 71'
  • yellowcard Jamerson 90'+6'

Bahia vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Bahia 0 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jean Lucas

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Vitoria
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.57% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 11.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 68.69% (+0.04)
Draw 19.57%
Vitoria 11.74% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.4% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 24.2% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 52.46% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.54% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.11% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.89% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.6%
Under 4.5 80.4%

First Half Winner

Bahia 49.92%
Draw 35.32%
Vitoria 14.76%

Team To Score First

Bahia 70% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.53% (+0.04)
Vitoria 23.47%

Corners

Over 8 56.92%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 31.79%
Over 9 45.49%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 43.08%
Over 10.5 34.85%
Under 10.5 65.14%

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 60.26% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 39.74% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 33.46% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 66.54% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 15.26%
Under 3.5 84.74%

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 43.52% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 56.48% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 13.71% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 86.29% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 3.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.85% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.4% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bahia 68.68%
Draw 19.57%
Vitoria 11.73%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.2% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.76%
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 15.2%
Total : 68.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 19.57%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 4.45%
1-2 @ 3.23% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.54% (-0.02)
Total : 11.73%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 17, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Jean Lucas 5' redcard
  • Erick da Costa Farias 23' goal
  • Gilberto 53' yellowcard
  • Erick da Costa Farias 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 66' goal
  • Nicolas Acevedo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald 12'
  • yellowcard Claudinho 40'
  • yellowcard Erick 41'
  • goal Renato Kayzer 54'
  • yellowcard Osvaldo 63'
  • redcard Pepe 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everton Ribeiro 15' goal
  • Alerrandro 49' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 81' yellowcard
  • Yago 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Luciano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Kanu 49'
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 53'
  • redcard Thiago Carpini 54'
  • yellowcard Pablo Santos de Alcantara 82'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 20' goal
  • Leo Naldi 23' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 42' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 57' goal
  • Zeca 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 48'
  • yellowcard Victor Cuesta 51'
  • goal Gabriel Teixeira 69'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 72'
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 11, 2018 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Leo Ceara 2' yellowcard
  • Leo Ceara 8' goal
  • Leo Ceara 68' goal
  • Bruno 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Benitez 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 17'
  • goal Nilton 39'
  • yellowcard Junior Brumado 67'
  • goal Ramires 72'
  • yellowcard Nilton 84'
  • yellowcard Douglas Grolli 96'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 22, 2018 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Ze Rafael 2' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 16' goal
  • Vinicius 27' goal
  • Tiago 66' goal
  • Gilberto 67' goal
  • Lucas Fonseca 70' yellowcard
  • Tiago 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeferson 2'
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 15'
  • yellowcard Arouca 47'
  • yellowcard Bryan 65'
  • goal Lucas 73'
  • yellowcard Luan 74'
  • redcard Bryan 75'