Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cuiabano 46' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 57' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 57' yellowcard
  • Adson 57' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes 63' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 74' goal
  • Cauan Barros 78' yellowcard
  • goal José Manuel López 40'
  • yellowcard Luighi 69'
  • yellowcard Allan 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 72'
  • yellowcard Agustín Giay 72'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 82'

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 29.72% (+0.10)
Draw 26.61% (+0.04)
Palmeiras 43.67% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.36% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.64% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.96% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.34% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 13.2% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.8% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 28.41%
Draw 42.74%
Palmeiras 28.85%

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 44.99%
No Goal 8.38% (+0.02)
Palmeiras 46.63% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.67% (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 28.63% (+0.09)
Over 9 49.52% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.33% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 38.83% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 61.17% (+0.08)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 29.05% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.95% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.16% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.84% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.96% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.04% (-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 73.26% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 26.74% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 39.83% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.17% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.34% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.66% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.52% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.48% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 29.72%
Draw 26.61%
Palmeiras 43.66%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 8.75% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.94% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.88% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Total : 29.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.61%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 5.4% (-0.03)
Total : 43.66%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 51' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 76'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 56' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 16'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 48'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 64'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pedro Raul 29' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 40' goal
  • goal Rafael Navarro 45'+1'
  • goal Artur 62'