Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 10.00pm
Santos 2 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Jose Luis Rodriguez

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 12.30am
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Gustavo Gomez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 29.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 29.5% (-0.27)
Draw 26.5% (+0.15)
Palmeiras 43.93% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8% (-0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.6% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 28.4% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 46.45% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 53.55% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 25.1% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 74.9% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 13.54% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 86.46% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 28.52% (-0.02)
Draw 43.21% (+0.44)
Palmeiras 28.27% (-0.43)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 45.06% (+0.42)
No Goal 8.34% (+0.23)
Palmeiras 46.6% (-0.63)

Corners

Over 8 60.98% (+0.70)
Equal 8 10.95% (+0.13)
Under 8 28.07% (-0.83)
Over 9 49.54% (+0.50)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.20)
Under 9 39.02% (-0.70)
Over 10.5 38.57% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 61.43% (-0.29)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 29.16% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 70.84% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 10.4% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 89.6% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.07% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.93% (+0.05)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 73.57% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 26.43% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 40.26% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 59.74% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 16.66% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.65% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.35% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 29.5%
Draw 26.5%
Palmeiras 43.94%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 8.51% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.07)
Total : 29.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.34% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.02)
Total : 26.5%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.49% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 8.2% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.93% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.07)
Other @ 5.5% (-0.05)
Total : 43.94%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 51' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 60'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 76'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 56' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 16'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 48'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 64'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pedro Raul 29' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 40' goal
  • goal Rafael Navarro 45'+1'
  • goal Artur 62'