Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.